roke1960’s Offseason Plan

PREAMBLE

It’s time for Jerry to go for it.  He’s got the manager he wants, he has several controllable stars, and he isn’t getting any younger.  It’s time to spend big- I am going way past the $170M threshold.  If they don’t, we’ll see the same shortcomings that hindered the team this year rear their ugly heads.

ARBITRATION-ELIGIBLE PLAYERS

  • Lucas Giolito: $7.9M  TENDER
  • Reynaldo López; $2.8M  TENDER
  • Evan Marshall: $2.3M NON-TENDER
  • Adam Engel: $2.2M  TENDER
  • Jimmy Cordero: $1.2M  NON-TENDER
  • Jace Fry: $1M  NON-TENDER

CLUB OPTIONS

Write “pick up” or “decline” or “rework” after the option.

  • Craig Kimbrel: $16M ($1M buyout)  If a trade can’t be worked out quickly, then BUY OUT
  • César Hernández: $6M  DECLINE

OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS

Try to retain, extend qualifying offer, or let go?

  • Leury García (Made $3.5M in 2021)  LET GO
  • Carlos Rodón ($3M)  QO
  • Billy Hamilton ($1M) LET GO
  • Ryan Tepera ($950K) TRY TO RE-SIGN

FREE AGENTS

List three free-agent targets you’d pursue during the offseason, with a reasonable contract. A good example of a bad idea:

freestar

  1.  Michael Conforto, 4 years, $60M  (12M, 14M, 16M, 18M)  It’s finally time to solve right field.  And this is a great chance to sign a quality left-handed bat.  The Mets were a total mess this year.  Conforto was an above average bat for 5 years before last year’s disaster.  The only worry I have is that he might just take a 1 year prove it deal and shoot for really big bucks next year.
  2. Chris Taylor, 3 years, $30M  Signing Taylor makes letting Leury go a no-brainer.  He will be the starting 2nd baseman, but since he is going to be filling in at other spots so often, that makes signing #3 below a necessity.
  3.  Brad Miller, 1 year, $3M.  Since Taylor will move around the diamond so much, we need a 2nd baseman that can play 70-80 games and give some pop.  Miller is another left-handed bat with some pop.
  4. Ryan Tepera, 2 years, $8M  The Sox need him back.
  5. Mychal Givens, 1 year, $4M  More veteran bullpen depth
  6. Tucker Barnhart, 1 year, $3M  We need a more reliable backup catcher than Collins or Zavala.

Carlos Rodon, 3 years, $52M ($15M, $17M, $20M) If he doesn’t take the QO, then the Sox need to re-sign him.  He just wore down after pitching much more than he had for several years.  Another winter of strengthening himself will help.  And his valiant effort in Game 4 should be rewarded.  He’s a top-of-the-rotation bulldog.  Don’t let him go.

TRADES

No major trades.  If they can trade Kimbrel, it will be for someone who won’t impact the 2022 roster.

    SUMMARY

Here is the starting lineup on opening day:

Timmy ss

Yoan 3b

Robert cf

Eloy DH/lf

Grandal c

Abreu 1b

Conforto rf

Taylor 2b

Vaughn/Sheets DH/lf

Bench:  Vaughn/Sheets, Engel, Miller, Barnhart

This lineup is loaded, and when Miller is in, should be able to hit righties pretty well.

Rotation:

Giolito

Lynn

Cease

Rodon

Kopech

Keuchel

Bullpen:

Hendriks

Bummer

Crochet

Tepera

Givens

Lopez

1 of Ruiz, Burr, Foster

I have 6 starters, because we all know that someone will get hurt.  Actually, I have 7 starters if you include Rey.  The rotation is full of guys with top-of-the-rotation stuff, and the bullpen has 5 very solid options.

I know this blows the $170M cap out of the water, but Jerry has no choice.  The Sox are a cash cow now and it’s time to go for it all.  My payroll comes out somewhere around $190-195M.  Will Jerry spend that much?  Doubtful, but he absolutely needs to.  My free-agent price tags may be off- this is just a guess from me.

 

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roke1960
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Alfornia Jones

Couldn’t get my plan posted, but this is pretty close. 170 doesn’t get it done, need to go to 190 mil at least. They need Conforto and Rodon.

Joliet Orange Sox

I don’t think Jerry is going to let payroll get this high but I think this is a pretty well thought-out example of a plan of how to use the extra payroll if Jerry surprises us. I do think the Sox know more about Rodón’s health than is public so I’m prepared to give the benefit of the doubt if they let Rodón go. I also think having at least 7 possible starters is a good plan for pretty much every MLB team.

asinwreck

If the White Sox take this direction, I will be a pretty happy fan.

Rock_beats_papr

Everyone seems to be pushing Tepera at 4 mil a year, that seems high to me for his track record. That doesn’t solve your budget concerns though. I think Kimbrel has plenty of value too, can definitely swap him for a 2022 contributor