Jerry Spent Money on the Bulls Coach Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc He Will Spend Money on the Sox Mike Lox Offseason Plan

PREAMBLE

IF the Bulls hadn’t fired Jim Boylen and hired Billy Donovan then I wouldn’t believe the White Sox were actually going to spend. That move gave me hope Jerry actually wants to see his teams win before he croaks. So I’m predicting he’s going to spend a little money here.

ARBITRATION-ELIGIBLE PLAYERS

  • Nomar Mazara: $5.6M | $5.9M | $5.7M – Non-tender
  • Carlos Rodón: $4.5M | $4.5M | $4.5M – Non-tender
  • Lucas Giolito: $2.5M | $5.3M | $2.5M – Tender, $5.3M
  • Reynaldo López: $1.7M | $2.2M | $1.7M – Tender, $1.7M
  • Evan Marshall: $1.3M | $1.9M | $1.4M – Tender, $1.9M
  • Adam Engel: $1M | $1.4M | $1M – Tender, $1.4M
  • Jace Fry: $800K | $1M | $800K – Tender, $1M
  • Yolmer Sánchez: Uncertain -Goodbye either way

Payroll to this point: $89.1M

CLUB OPTIONS

  • Edwin Encarnación: $12M

Decline

  • Gio González: $7M ($500K buyout)

Decline

  • Leury García: $3.5M ($250K buyout)

Pickup

Total: $93.1M

OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS

  • Alex Colomé (Made $10,532,500 in 2020)
  • James McCann (Made $5.4M in 2020)
  • Jarrod Dyson (Made $2M in 2020)

Goodbye to all

COACHING STAFF

  • Manager: Sandy Alomar Jr, but I’ll be happy with anyone not named Tony La Russa. But Sandy learned under Tito, did a good job managing while Francona was out, and was part of their staff that won an AL Pennant- which is technically a kind of championship.
  • Pitching coach: Don’t care. Let Sandy pick who he wants.

FREE AGENTS

Trevor Bauer SP: 1 year $30M with a mutual option for 2022 and a $10M buyout if club declines

Trevor Bauer is the perfect free agent pitcher for Jerry. He has talked about wanting one year deals in the past to maximize his earnings. Jerry hates long term deals for pitchers. Because of possible labor unrest and the unknowns of Covid-19 a mutual option could be enticing for Bauer, especially if there’s a nice sized buyout on the club’s end. It’s a way to make their deal more enticing than a one year deal for a similar prize from another team.

Michael Brantley RF: 2 years $26M with a mutual option for 2023 with a $5 million buyout

In this market Brantley probably isn’t getting three guaranteed years. A buyout could be appealing to him on the option to put a Sox offer over the top.

Jose Quintana SP: 1 year $8 million

You just know the Sox will do this.

Alex Avila: 1 year $1M

Avila always has a good OBP and he’s the backup catcher.

Asdrubal Cabrera: 1 year $5 million

This team needs depth and Danny Mendick isn’t as good at baseball as he is at dancing. This could be huge if Madrigal gets hurt, continues to play dumb, or if he hits his OBP and SLG but it’s under .340.

Total Payroll: $150.1M

TRADES

LOL the Sox don’t have anyone they want to trade that another team would want.

SUMMARY

I think Jerry will spend this offseason and I think he especially won’t mind it if all the money is coming on one to two year deals. I’m not extending Giolito this offseason for two reasons. The first is I’d rather spend on the depth this team needs to win now. They can contend for a World Series, they shouldn’t punt on that chance to extend a pitcher who could get hurt. The second reason is he could get hurt or decline by the time he’s a free agent. For the most part he’s a two pitch guy- fastball and changeup. At least, that’s what he can consistently rely on. If he loses a tick on the fastball- that’s already not elite velocity- he could have trouble. The Sox can still extend him later on, but there’s no reason to do it so early with a pitcher. Look at the Red Sox and Chris Sale. The Sox extended Buehrle in the last year of his deal in ‘07. I would take the same approach with Giolito. This is not a perfect team I have constructed, but it’s a major upgrade in at least one rotation spot and I’ve added another guy to the mix in Quintana for the battle over the last two where you’re still hoping one if not two of the other guys can take the reins there. Brantley is a good, reliable, short term plug for RF. I’m not getting into a bidding war for a backup catcher when there are other bigger needs, so goodbye James McCann.

Lineup: 

SS: Anderson

RF: Moncada

LF: Jimenez

CF: Robert

1B: Abreu

C: Grandal

RF: Brantley

DH: Vaughn

2B: Madrigal

Rotation:

SP: Bauer

SP: Giolito

SP: Keuchel

SP: Quintana

SP: Dunning

Bullpen:

Bummer

Marshall

Heur

Foster

Fry

Kopech

Cease

Cordero

Bench:

Asdrubal Cabrera UTIL

Leury Garcia UTIL

Engel: OF

Avila: C

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