Groundballin’ (chorizy’s offseason plan)

PREAMBLE

I think the White Sox are fairly comfortable with their offense, though I think a slight upgrade may be made in the outfield.  This is not limited to free agents, but also to moving Eloy to DH more often under a new manager.  I do think the Sox will go after pitching and they will target pitchers that can produce groundballs.

ARBITRATION-ELIGIBLE PLAYERS

  • Nomar Mazara: $5.6M | $5.9M | $5.7M – As much as I wanted him to hit 3HR in 5 games, he never did.  For that, he gets non-tendered.
  • Carlos Rodón: $4.5M | $4.5M | $4.5M – Non-Tender, Carlos, it’s not you, it’s me.
  • Lucas Giolito: $2.5M | $5.3M | $2.5M – Tender ($5M)
  • Reynaldo López: $1.7M | $2.2M | $1.7M – I don’t know what ReyLo does on this team and for that I can’t spend $2M.  Non-Tender
  • Evan Marshall: $1.3M | $1.9M | $1.4M – Tender
  • Adam Engel: $1M | $1.4M | $1M – Tender
  • Jace Fry: $800K | $1M | $800K – Tender
  • Yolmer Sánchez: Uncertain – Non-Tender, but he’ll be back somehow.  We can’t quit Yolmer.

CLUB OPTIONS

  • Edwin Encarnación: $12M – Decline
  • Gio González: $7M ($500K buyout) – Decline
  • Leury García: $3.5M ($250K buyout) – Pick up, there is just too much value in a guy that can play every position, including a reasonable SS.

OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS

  • Alex Colomé (Made $10,532,500 in 2020) – Qualifying offer, which I believe he will decline due to the weak closer market.
  • James McCann (Made $5.4M in 2020) – Let go, he’ll get a chance to start somewhere for more money than the Sox should spend on a backup catcher.  Hope he does well.
  • Jarrod Dyson (Made $2M in 2020) – Let go, despite him being our big trade deadline prize last year.

COACHING STAFF

Here’s a first: Pick your manager and pitching coach, with any elaboration.

  • Manager: Sandy Alomar Jr
  • Pitching coach: Ruben Niebla

I think this package deal makes the most sense because they have the experience and institutional knowledge that the Sox want. This can go a long way in landing pitchers in Free Agency

FREE AGENTS

No. 1: Marcus Stroman – It’s either Stroman or Bauer this year, but if I read last off-season correctly, grounders are important to the Sox. Stroman’s career GB% is 58 to Bauer’s 41. That, plus personality issues, will likely be the reason to go this way. I’m thinking 5/$90M probably backloaded and some awesome Kenny/Hahn “if you win the cy young and play 72 games in the last year, you get a 6th year at $40M”. But we’ll call it $18M on this year’s ledger.

No. 2: Jake Arrieta – Sticking with the ground ball theme, I am not trying to re-live roided out incredible Arrieta. Rather I am looking for his last 3 years of 50+ GB%. 2/$20M might be an overpay for a 4th starter, but Scott Boras

No. 3: Jackie Bradley Jr – Lefty Engel would be just that. JBJ + Engel replace Mazara in RF on a daily basis. He gets on base ok, he runs ok, he can play CF if needed. We’re going with a Pillar-esque deal as that is his comp in my mind. 2/$8M

No. 4: Derek Dietrich – Getting a little more left handed at the plate and doing it with a guy that can play pretty much anywhere except SS and C, but there is actually some SLG% in this bat. A new concept for our utility guys. This is cheap 1/$600k

No. 5: Jason Castro – Keep on getting more lefty. Castro as your backup C is pretty solid and if he can be used only against RHP, even better. 1/$5M

No. 6: Mike Leake – Staying on the groundball theme, Leake can throw them.  He als has an inexplicable contract that will get him a $5M buyout this year, just to go away.  So I think you can get him for a few million on a bounce back contract.  1/$3M

TRADES:

No trades.  I had an elaborate Rodon for Kluber trade, but just couldn’t make it work.

SUMMARY

Roster:
C Grandal – 18.25
C Castro – 5
C Mercedes – .575
1B Abreu – 17.667
2B Madrigal – .575
SS Anderson – 7.25
3B Moncada – 6.8
LF Jimenez – 4.333
CF Robert – 3.5
RF Engel – 1.4
OF Bradley – 4
UTIL Garcia – 3.5
UTIL Dietrich – .6

SP Giolito – 5
SP Keuchel – 18
SP Stroman – 18
SP Arrieta – 10
SP Leake – 3
SP/RP Cease – .625
SP/RP Dunning – .575
SP/RP Kopech – .575
RP Marshall – 1.9
RP Fry – 1
RP Bummer – 2
RP Heuer – .575
RP Foster – .575

Salary $135.275M

If I added this up wrong, that’s your problem for checking math on this post.  Also, it’s a bit difficult to know where Cease, Kopech, and Dunning fit in.  Could be minors until an injury requires their services, could be the bullpen, but they are all worth mentioning.

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BeefLoaf108

I expect Arrieta to come through and work with the 108ers on “pilates”

AdamH

Who is the DH on the roster?

Soxfan2

Colome would be happy with 2 years for $18M, let alone 1 year. I’d rather have Ken Giles for 1 year $8-9M than Colome.

andyfaust

you beat me to it. He’s be all over a QO. It absurdly high $$$ now.

stevev

Nice. First one of these I looked at since putting my own out there -Kopech figures heavily for me but you got it all going nicely without him.