For my first offseason project, I thought the White Sox’ biggest problem is payroll efficiency. The Yankees of the world can afford to keep bad contracts on the books, but the White Sox can not. My priority was getting the $34 million owed to Kimbrel and Keuchel to better use. In the end I was $10mil over budget.
Write “tender,” “non-tender” or “rework/extend” after each player and their projected 2022 salaries. Feel free to offer explanation afterward if necessary.
- Lucas Giolito: $7.9M tender
- Reynaldo López; $2.8M tender
- Evan Marshall: $2.3M non-tender (TJ makes this moot)
- Adam Engel: $2.2M tender
- Brian Goodwin: $1.7M non-tender
- Jimmy Cordero: $1.2M non-tender
- Jace Fry: $1M non-tender (sign to minor league deal if possible)
Write “pick up” or “decline” or “rework” after the option.
- Craig Kimbrel: $16M ($1M buyout) pick up (see below)
- César Hernández: $6M decline
OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS
Try to retain, extend qualifying offer, or let go?
- Leury García (Made $3.5M in 2021) retain 2 years/9 million
- Carlos Rodón ($3M) extend qualifying offer
- Billy Hamilton ($1M) let go
- Ryan Tepera ($950K) retain 2 years/10 million
No. 1: Ryan Tepera (2 years, $10 million). Tepera looks to be one of the better setup guys on the market at a reasonable price, and his post-acquisition performance should be rewarded.
No. 2: Manny Piña (2 years, $8 million) Sox need a backup catcher with an above average glove, and if one free agent catcher from the Brewers worked out why not another?
No. 3: Leury García (2 years, $9 million) I really considered letting Leury go but there aren’t a ton of great bench options on the free agent market or internally.
No. 1: Trade Craig Kimbrel to San Diego for Adam Frazier. This swap of underperforming deadline acquisitions could help both teams.
No. 2: Trade Andrew Vaughn to Arizona for Ketel Marte. The Sox have a glut of 1B/DH/LF types, and Marte is starting to get expensive for a frugal Arizona team that is not near contention. Marte starts in RF but can move around the outfield, and play up the middle in the infield. Marte had hamstring-itis in 2021 so seems a good bet he can bounce back. Trade evaluator said this trade was ok so I’m going with it.
No. 3: Trade Dallas Keuchel (Retain $6 mil), Yermin Mercedes, Wes Kath to Baltimore for Tanner Scott. Salary dump. Tanner Scott had a rough year for the O’s, but strikes out a lot of people, has plus velocity, and has performed in the past. Katz may be able to get more out of him. Sox retain $6 mil. Orioles get an innings eater, Mercedes gets another shot with a different org, and Kath is a legit prospect.
- Tim Anderson (SS)
- Yoán Moncada (3B)
- Luis Robert (CF)
- Yasmani Grandal (C)
- José Abreu (1B)
- Ketel Marte (RF)
- Eloy Jiménez (LF)
- Gavin Sheets (DH)
- Adam Frazier (2B)
- Lance Lynn
- Carlos Rodón
- Lucas Giolito
- Dylan Cease
- Michael Kopech
- Liam Hendriks
- Ryan Tepera
- Aaron Bummer
- Garret Crochet
- Reynaldo López
- Ryan Burr
- Tanner Scott
- José Ruiz
- Adam Engel
- Manny Piña
- Leury Garcia
- Danny Mendick
Retain $6 million for Keuchel.
Total 2022 payroll: $179,908,334
This is a team in win-now mode, and spending $180m+ is what the Sox should do, even if it’s not what they will do. That said, this plan has the Sox holding on to most of their top prospects in a thin farm system.
The shakiest part of this roster is the starter depth, and the back end of the bullpen. Tepera shows that bullpen help can be acquired cheaply at the deadline. Lengthy injuries to the rotation are going to be hard to fill internally, which is a concern with Kopech being stretched and Rodon’s history. The White Sox not having any pitching in the minors ready for the the show really limits their options.
Jake Burger stays in AAA but may get a mid-season callup into Mendick’s spot if he performs.
This is the first time I made an offseason plan, it was fun even if I have no idea what I’m doing.
Marte is a popular name. I don’t hate the idea of Vaughn headlining something there. I hate giving away Wes Kath. That seems a lot of work just to save some money but that’s how bad Dallas’ contract is. I had the Kimbrel/Frazier idea myself but I think that’s the one we probably need to eat money on. 16 mil for a 7-8mil guy who we would control in 2023. Who knows.
Nice plan, check mine out if you get a chance
Trade Simulator seemed to think Kimbrel and Frazier are around the same value, but it may be the case that you’d have to throw in a fringe prospect or eat money in the real world if it could be done.
Buying Kimbrel out and using that money toward a right fielder (and putting Marte in his preferred position) might be the better play, but the indication is the Sox are going to pick up Kimbrel’s option, so that’s what I went with.
I had a thought about keeping Keuchel and maybe doing an opener/long man thing with him and Kopech but just seems like too much risk he’s toast.
Yeah, I didn’t pick up Kimbrel in mine, even though I know they are. I just don’t quite understand why he has trade value at 16 million. Frazier is funny though because it’s like both teams admit they screwed up at the deadline. It’s a good idea.
I like this plan. Fills the needed holes, & realistically could be done. Nice job
On further thought if I absolutely HAD to get down to $170m:
Go with Romy over Leury (-$4m)
Shift money for Tepera and Manny into 2023 (-$2m)
Throw in another prospect in the Keuchel trade (-$2.5m)
That would put me at around $170m.