PP’s “Trust The Process??” Offseason Plan

PREAMBLE

After a 72 win (69 xW/L) season, my offseason plan prioritizes 3 things:

Give the team an opportunity to compete, IF the homegrown talent succeeds.

Allow the second tier prospects to develop/get healthy to build trade value

Make additions that will not block potential internal pieces, keep draft picks and allow for future payroll flexibility to be used when the team has shown it’s ready to compete.

***My First Order Of Business

-Sign Joe Girardi for 5 years $30mil and give him a wide berth on coaching replacements

ARBITRATION-ELIGIBLE PLAYERS

  • Alex Colomé, $10.3M- Nope
  • Yolmer Sánchez, $6.2M-Nope
  • James McCann, $4.9M-He stays
  • Carlos Rodon, $4.5M-He Stays
  • Leury García, $4M-Nope
  • Evan Marshall, $1.3M-He Stays
  • Josh Osich, $1M-He Stays
  • Ryan Goins, $900K-Nope

CLUB OPTIONS

  • Welington Castillo: $8 million/$500,000 buyout- Buy That Out

OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS

Try to retain, or let go?

  • Jose Abreu- Offer Jose a one year $12.5mil salary, with a team option at $12.5mil for ’21, with a $4mil buyout.
  • Allow everyone else to walk
  • Offer- Yoan Moncada 5/65 guaranteed. 5mil/10mil/12.5mil/12.5mil/20mil. With a $25mil option and $5mil buyout.(Total Potential 6/85) It allows him to out earn Betts over a comparative timeframe if he’s willing to give up 2 years of control. If the rumors of his spending habits were true, maybe he takes it.
  • Offer- Lucas Giolito 5/46 guaranteed. 3/4/8/11.75/15 With a $17mil team option and $4.75mil buyout.(Total Potential 6/58) It’s essentially the Nola deal signed one year 1 extra year prior to arb eligibility.
  • Offer- Luis Robert 6/45 guaranteed. 2/2.5/4.5/7.5/10.5/14.  With $18mil and $25mil team options/$4mil buyouts.(Total Potential 8/84) It’s the Jimenez deal, Plus, Plus.

FREE AGENTS

  • Yasmani Grandal- 4 years, $60mil. He Gets on base, Switch Hitter, Excellent defender, Won’t be blocking anyone
  • Kole Calhoun- 2 years, $16mil. To be used exclusively as a platoon RF in ’20, then potentially a LF/DH/LH Bench Bat in ’21 when Betts is added.
  • Ben Zobrist- 1 year, $6.5mil, 2nd year $7.5mil mutual option with $2mil buyout. Mans 2nd base for the first month while Madrigal finishes up in AAA, is the RF option vs. LHP, and gives Jimenez off days in LF
  • Billy Hamilton- 1 year, $1.5mil– 26 man. He’s not Engel and can steal bases + play defense.
  • Alex Wood- 1 year, $8.5mil. Bridge deal for a LHP who had great success as a 150 innings guy who is coming off a year lost to non-arm related injuries.
  • Tanner Roark- 2 years, $16mil– Holds down a starting spot until Kopech is ready, then goes to multi-inning option in ‘pen/emergency starter.
  • Will Smith- (***If He Does Not Earn A QO) 3 years, $39mil– Closer in place of Colome
  • Chris Martin- 1 year, $4.5mil– Throws Strikes, suppressed HR’s with Atlanta
  • *Brandon Kintzler- 1 year /$4 million– IF Smith gets a QO, sign Kintzler and  Bummer  is Closer
  • *Tommy Hunter- Minor League 1 year /$4.3 million – It’s the non-guaranteed Hector Santiago deal

TRADES

No Trades- If all goes well, prospects use the first half to build value heading into the trade deadline and off-season. This is my preferred way to fill any holes in the starting rotation.

SUMMARY

IF players accept extension offers and Smith signs, my 2020 payroll is $110mil, dropping to $70mil in ’21. The breadth of potential outcomes for this team is vast and relies on the development of their future core. Low end, it’s a 77 win slog(Think Reds). High end, with deadline acquisitions, they’re a 90+ win team with draft picks intact and tons of future payroll flexibility.(Think Braves)

POSITIONS                                                     

C- Grandal/McCann/Collins(emergency 3rd)

1B- Abreu/Collins/Zobrist

DH-Collins/McCann/Calhoun/Zobrist/Jimenez

2B- Zobrist(April)/ (Madrigal Full-time in May)/Mendick

SS-Anderson/Mendick (Trouble Spot if Anderson goes down)

3B-Moncada/Mendick

LF- Jimenez/Zobrist

CF- Robert/Hamilton

RF-Calhoun/Zobrist

ROTATION                              BULLPEN

Giolito                                           Will  Smith

Kopech (Roark)                          Bummer

Cease                                             Herrera

Wood                                            Martin

Lopez                                           Roark

Marshall

Fry/Cordero/Tommy Hunter

Osich

 

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PauliePaulie
PauliePaulie
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BeefLoaf108

I really liked that you turned over a lot of the bottom of the roster and added actual MLB players.

roke1960

Wow, that is a very interesting plan. It sure gives the team a chance to be competitive this year. I know you and I have butted heads over this “trusting the process”, but this is a pretty aggressive offseason plan. It sure will create a lot of flexibility on the roster. Good job, Paulie.

Greg Nix

I like adding Chris Martin. But Hamilton stinks and I think Zobrist’s $$ would be better spent on a bigger bat. 

asinwreck

I’m a fan of the Zobrist idea. He’s in my plan for about the same money.

Eagle Bones

I actually like this more than I thought I would based on your comments in some of the threads last week. I still don’t think you’re going for it quite enough, but you’ve got some good ideas here (love Grandal, Wood is a good bounceback guy and I actually like Zobrist assuming as a placeholder for Madrigal and bench/platoon bat once he’s up).

Trooper Galactus

Interesting targets. I like the ideas for extensions, though I don’t think a single one of those guys would take that if offered. But hey, worth a shot, right?

White Sox Wade

Definitely worth a shot, but with the coin Moncada and Robert have already banked, there is little motivation for them to extend.  Giolito, Cease, and Madrigal on the other hand might bite.