Revisiting Anderson’s Breakout

Unfortunately, in the 11 days since Jim last took a look at his season, Tim Anderson has come back to Earth. At the end of April 15th, he was posting an otherworldly .453/.463/.679/209 wRC+ line with 3 HR, 11 R, 10 RBI, and 5 SB.

In the 11 days since then he’s only managed a more mortal .324/.361/.559/145 wRC+ with 2 HR, 9 R, 6 RBI, and 5 SB.

The good news is that some of the underlying trends behind his approach continue to solidify. His overall contact rate is above his career line on all pitch types but still especially against offspeed stuff:

He’s making contact on more pitches in the zone, especially against offspeed and breaking stuff:

Pitchers have responded by nibbling and trying to get him to chase out of the zone.

Tim’s adjusted by chasing fewer offspeed pitches, swinging at more breaking pitches, and holding pretty steady on fastballs:

But he’s improved his ability to make contact when he goes out of the zone against fastballs and offspeed pitches:

And it’s not cheap contact with his average exit velocity on fastballs up to 90mph and 89.4mph on offspeed pitches. He’s got a solid contact rate at 10% for the season, double his career line, having essentially replaced every weakly hit ball with a well-struck one:

Take a second to support Sox Machine on Patreon
karkovice squad
karkovice squad
Articles: 2
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

So he’s been hot, came back to earth a little, but the overall analysis suggests this better TA is sustainable?