offseason plans

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And justice for all: Striker’s offseason plan

Monday, November 16th, 2009

Considering he came up with the offseason plan idea, it’s only fair that Striker puts his baseball mind on trial with his own blueprint.

Although it’s not quite fair that he gets the benefit of the Mark Teahen trade, he does go in a different direction with it.

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Contracts:
1. Dotel: Decline, no arbitration.
2. Dye: Decline, no arbitration.
3. Danks: Try and extend. Offer deal between what Lester and Floyd got.
4. Jenks: Sign then trade

Free Agency:
1. Sign Randy Winn to a 1 year $3,000,000 deal.
2. Sign Beltre to a deal that averages out to $8,000,000 annually. I would offer him anywhere from 1-3 years.
3. Sign Mike Cameron to a 2 year $5,000,000/year deal.

Trades:
1. Trade Konerko to the Mariners for Mark Lowe. Send $2,000,000 or $3,000,000 with Konerko.
2. Trade Jenks to someone for prospects. Possible destinations: Houston, Atlanta, Texas, Arizona, Tampa Bay (to name a few)
3. One name I pondered but didn’t make a move for is Eric Byrnes of AZ. If AZ would pickup 1/2 of his salary he could be worth the risk. He is a former Beane player and we all know how KW loves Beane.

Overview:
My priorities are defense and offensive balance throughout the lineup. I averaged each players stats over the past 3 years with the exception of Beltre, Ramirez, Beckham and Quentin. Beckham and Quentin I guessed. Beltre I skipped 2009 since he was injured. And Ramirez I averaged over 2 years. Here is what the team would look like. I’ve improved the team’s defense drastically, improved the team average and have alot of 20/20 potential throughout the lineup. My only concern would be OBP. My payroll is $92mil after sending $3mil with Konerko and paying Viciedo.

My question for you all would be, if you were Seattle would you make that trade? If you were Winn, Beltre or Cameron would you take that contract?

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Is eight enough?

Wednesday, November 4th, 2009

Before we get to the last offseason plan I have lined up, a couple of quick notes:

*Akinori Iwamura, whose name was brought up a couple times in discussion, is heading to the Pittsburgh Pirates for reliever Jesse Chavez. Nice move for Pittsburgh.

*U-God at South Side Sox has been swept up by the craze and has a plan of his own.

That said, let’s take a look at some ideas from sars:

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MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

In the best year of his life he was barely worth $5mil. If you told me he’d strike out 122 batters like he did that season, I’d sign up for $7mil without question, but he’s just not that good anymore.

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

It’s been pointed out already, but Jermaine Dye is hands-down one of the worst right fielders in all of baseball. It’s kind of hard to believe, but he’s been worth negative dollar value for two years in his five spent on the South Side. Regardless of what Hawk tells you, this is attributed entirely to his inability to field. Turning 36 next year with a Line Drive % reaching a career low of 16.9% screams an even sharper decline is coming.

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It’s not the offseason yet

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

The Phillies extended the baseball season at least two more days, so we’ll have to wait a little longer to see if the Boston Globe’s Nick Cafardo has a legitimate idea here:

4. Johnny Damon, LF, Yankees – If the Yankees don’t bring him back, the White Sox look like a good fit. They need a leadoff hitter, and while they’d love to sign free agent Chone Figgins and move him to the outfield, he may get too pricy. While Damon has been a No. 2 hitter for the Yankees, he could easily go back to the top spot and give the White Sox some leadoff power.

Damon’s had those “good at-bats” Ozzie Guillen craves, so it’s not a ridiculous notion by any means.

At any rate, let’s take a look at an offseason plan courtesy of Paul:

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MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

Octavio Dotel: Walk

Jermaine Dye: Buyout

FLEXIBLE DECISIONS

John Danks: At least a 1 year contract.  If extended, he deserves more than Floyd (~4 mil per year) and less than Lester (~6 mil per year).  I’ll go 4 year, ~20 million.

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Back to the drawing board

Monday, November 2nd, 2009

Now that we’re back to a lack of news, let’s get back to the offseason plans. This one is courtesy of marshlands:

MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

Do not offer arbitration to Octavio Dotel. He’s been serviceable throughout his career (even excellent at times), but given the volatility of relief pitchers, it’s not worth the money. Dotel’s a strikeout machine, but also a home run machine, which isn’t very helpful in The Cell (or in high leverage situations). The Sox would be just as well to try their hand at a similarly aging veteran free agent for a much cheaper price.

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

Buy out Dye. Fact is, he’s a horrible RF. UZR isn’t completely dependable yet due to some pretty wild year-to-year fluctuations, but I’m not so fond of Dye falling on the bad side of -18 UZR for four straight years. This, combined of course with his magically disappearing bat in the second half of 2009 only points towards a potentially steep decline.

It wouldn’t be terrible to buy him out and then try and re-sign him at a discount, maybe as a DH (“hey we’ll cut your salary in half if you don’t field next year!”), but clearly it’s a touchy situation, and I doubt Dye would be into that, you know, given the kind of contracts some OF way worse than him have gotten in the past few years.

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Viciedo injured, and one more plan

Tuesday, October 27th, 2009

We can officially call Dayan Viciedo’s first minor-league season “underwhelming.”

Dayan Viciedo.

Dayan Viciedo.

His Arizona Fall League experience came to an end on Monday. He’d missed the last handful of games, and it turns out elbow inflammation is the culprit.  His final AFL line is full of 1’s and 6’s:

18 AB, 6 R, 6 H, 1 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 1 BB, 6 K.

There is a silver lining — Brent Morel, who is nearly as interesting as Viciedo, takes his place.  And with Jordan Danks posting a 1.210 OPS so far, it’s been a pretty good year for fall ball thus far.

Joe Cowley seems to think Viciedo will be good enough to attend Camp Cora in January. Hopefully that’s the case, and Viciedo won’t be dragging around a bum arm.

Since we’re on the subject of Cubans and about to introduce another offseason plan, this seems as good a time as any to mention that the Sox have expressed interest in Aroldis Chapman.

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Our final offseason plan (for now) comes through e-mail courtesy of Matt:

MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

Dotel – Walk

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

Dye – Buyout

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Fourth anniversary, fourth plan

Monday, October 26th, 2009

Four years ago, the White Sox gave fans the greatest day in the history of their baseball-loving lives.

Therefore, it’s only fitting that we take a look at a fourth plan of attack for the 2009-10 offseason.  This one comes all the way from Singapore courtesy of theghostofmansoolee, whose living entity served as the bullpen catcher for that 2005 team:

MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

No arbitration. He’s supposedly a Type A free agent, according to Cot’s Baseball Contracts. But it’s probably not worth the risk of having to pay more than what an aging reliever is worth in the current market.

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

Buy Dye out. Then you can try to see whether he’ll come back for cheaper. I honestly don’t know if there are any significantly better options in the FA market than him, and Dye sounds like he might come back for a lower price tag.

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Prospect odd and ends, and another offseason plan

Saturday, October 24th, 2009

Before going into our next offseason plan, here’s C.J. Retherford hitting a homer off Stephen Strasburg. His at-bat begins at the 1:30 mark:

YouTube Preview Image

(h/t Larry at South Side Sox.)

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And now onto our third set of 2009-10 plans, courtesy of Kevin:

Arbitration and re-signings:

1. Decline arbitration to Dotel
This just seems academic. Dotel has performed relatively well, but the organization needs to focus on stockpiling young, fringy arms that usually comprise an economically sound and statistically palatable bullpen.

2. Decline Dye’s option.
Is there a sound argument for this bringing him back? He clearly can’t play defense anymore, and his bat is too much of a risk to pencil in at designated hitter for $12 million.

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The offseason’s first Kenny cryptogram

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

As we continue to peer-review our offseason plans, Kenny Williams gives us something to chew on.

williams1023

It’s not a whole lot, of course. Having an entire article based on KenSpeak is the equivalent of putting a bag of oranges into the Juice Loosener.  You might get a drop of information out of it, if you’re lucky.

In a nutshell:

  • “You play with things. It doesn’t mean you are going to act on anything, but you play with possibilities.”
  • “Look at the team we ended with. Start with them and add a few key fits here and there, and I think we can be one of the teams to beat in the division.”

I think we can count on him not taking away wins on paper (sorry, Jose Lopez fans).  I’m still operating with the thought in my mind that, as Chris De Luca has stated, Bobby Jenks has thrown his last pitch in a White Sox uniform, so I think that’ll be the key to one positional upgrade, similar to the Jon Garland-Orlando Cabrera trade.  Look for veterans being pushed out for younger in-house replacements.

With that in mind, here’s our second offseason plan, courtesy of timmeh, a first-time caller, long-time listener. It’s slightly pithier than Knox’s Dickensian entry, but has some new names and dollars to discuss.  I don’t know about you guys and gals, but I’m enjoying this thus far.

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MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

Dotel – Walk

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

Dye – Buyout

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knoxfire30’s 2010 White Sox offseason plan

Thursday, October 22nd, 2009

Big ups to an apparently sober Knox for taking the first crack at hashing out a feasible plan for an offseason strategy, turning it around so fast and so thoroughly (seriously, it was a matter of an hour or so) that it almost concerns me.  Here are the guidelines, if you missed them, and below is Knox’s plan.

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My Offseason:

MUST-MAKE DECISIONS

1) Octavio Dotel: Arbitration, or not?

1. Decline Arbitration to Octavio Dotel. While being a pretty above average reliever the sox don’t have the payroll flexibility to try and take advantage of his type A status. In house candidates like Jhonny Nunez can help fill the bullpen void and Tony Pena may make some positive strides with a full off season and spring with Don Cooper.

2) Jermaine Dye: Mutual option, arbitration, or not?

2. Decline Jermaine Dye’s mutual option. This is an easy call as Dye has proven he really can’t cover any ground in the outfield and has consecutive seasons where he was an offensive train wreck in the second half. We love you JD but its time to move on.

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