Saturday, February 16, 2008 - Posts

The spirit of 77

Last year, Baseball Prospectus projected the White Sox to finish with a 72-90 record.  The Sox scoffed:

"Seventy-two and 90?" added an amused White Sox hitting coach Greg Walker when informed of the prediction. "I'll go higher than 72 wins. Predictions like that really don't enter our thought process. We know what we have to do to win."

Sure enough, the Sox finished 72-90.  PECOTA had massively underrated the Sox for years, so when zooming out, it's not as impressive as it first appears.  However, it does make this year's projection worth paying attention to.

The prediction? 77-85, 780 runs scored, 822 runs allowed.

Now we play the waiting game...