posted on Saturday, July 26, 2008 4:02 AM by Jim

The feel-good hit of the summer

While the new kid in town, Carlos Quentin, has drawn raves and praise from every direction, Jermaine Dye has put together a helluva season without a whole lot of buzz.

Let's put an end to that.  After hitting the game-winning home run with two outs in the ninth inning Friday night against the Tigers, the man deserves a macro at the very least.

Quentin has the edge in more than a few categories -- on-base percentage, baserunning ability (Bill James Online says Quentin has gained seven bases, while Dye has lost three), quantity of hair and volume of post-pop-up F-bombs -- but Dye has the lead in slugging percentage and total bases.

Also, his defense hasn't been nearly as atrocious.  According to John Dewan's plus-minus, Dye is playing a +3 right field, compared to -16 the previous season, and now ranks in the middle of the pack.  Wednesday afternoon provided a fine example of his improved range -- the diving catch that he made a few days ago would've been a triple in 2007.

And to keep you smiling, compare the production the Sox have received from their outfielders from 2007 to 2008:

 
G
HR
RBI
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
2007
162
54
206
.257
.324
.402
.726
2008
101
64
187
.275
.356
.504
.860

The Sox are fortunate that Horacio Ramirez doesn't throw harder.  If his slider fractured Dye's kneecap instead of bruising it, they might be singing a whole different tune today.

And that provides a good segue to infirmary talk...

************************

There's a good chance that Josh Fields' return to the majors Friday night will resemble his overall performance -- some good (single, walk), some bad (strikeout), some ugly (run-scoring boot of a possible double play ball).

For some reason, I'm optimistic about Fields. Granted, I know why I shouldn't be:
  1. The .248/.325/.450 line in Charlotte.
  2. The 25 walks to 77 strikeouts.
  3. The step backwards in June (.682 OPS).
  4. The knee issue.
But I have a hunch, and it goes back to what I wrote at the end of spring training, when he was forced to return to Charlotte despite outplaying Joe Crede handily:

He's right to be a little down, because going back to Triple-A puts him in a no-win situation.  It's kind of like a major college basketball program playing a decent mid-major on the road during the regular season.  If he succeeds, that's what he's supposed to do and it doesn't really add much to his case.  If he trips up, it's embarrassing and the doubts start to pile up for merely being human.

Fields had been terrific at Triple-A the previous two seasons, so he has some sort of track record.  When you package the early disappointment with the bad slide that injured his knee, and then throw in Crede playing well and no apparent daylight at the major-league level, I can see why Fields may have been due for a letdown.

So while Crede's back issues are troublesome, this gives Fields a shot at redemption.  I think he's going to take advantage of it well enough -- not All-Star-caliber production, but around or slightly above his perfectly acceptable 2007 season.  That's what my gut says, anyway, and if I'm wrong, then it's another reason to trust the numbers.

One point in Fields' favor this year -- while his error Friday night was spectacularly unclutch, there's no guarantee that Crede would've handled it.  Not that it excuses him, but there is definitely less pressure on his shoulders to be an artist with leather.

************************

Scott Linebrink
looks to be joining Crede on the shelf, per Joe Cowley:

Breaking news: Linebrink could be DL-ed on Saturday with more stiffness in his throwing shoulder. MRI in the morning.

Linebrink's absence, along with Matt Thornton's case of back stiffness, put Ozzie Guillen in the uncomfortable position of having to use Nick Masset in a high-leverage situation, and the tag team of Boone Logan and D.J. Carrasco.

At least Logan did his job -- retiring the only lefty he faced.  Masset, meanwhile, boosted his WHIP and ERA for the fourth time in his last five appearances.  That said, if Linebrink and Thornton are out, I'm probably going with Carrasco for all short situations and trying to preserve Masset for tandem starter usage with Clayton Richard against the Twins.

As it stands, Guillen has basically three hopes in close games: Jenks, Dotel, and Rain Like Hell.  He's playing bullpen roulette otherwise, and Charlotte candidates like Adam Russell and Ehren Wassermann won't provide additional confidence.  If I were a betting man, I'd wager a small amount on Kenny Williams acquiring a reliever before the deadline.

The good news is that only two bullpen arms are off the market, and neither of them would've been a target for Williams, since he probably still holds a grudge against Jon Rauch, and Guillen lost faith in Damaso Marte.

************************

Minor league roundup, The-Knights-Don't Miss-Josh-Fields edition:
  • Charlotte 15, Buffalo 4 (pretend every hitter's line is in bold)
    • Brad Eldred went 3-for-5 with his first homer since June 21, three RBI and two runs scored.
    • Jason Bourgeois went 3-for-5 with two doubles and three RBI.
    • Chris Getz hit his ninth homer, fell a triple short of the cycle and drove in two.
    • Fernando Cortez homered twice and drove in four.
    • Lance Broadway gave up three earned runs on four hits and four walks over six.  He struck out five, but allowed two homers.
    • Mike MacDougal pitched two scoreless innings.
  • Mississippi 9, Birmingham 4
    • Justin Cassell struggled, allowing five runs on 10 hits and two walks over five innings.  On the bright side, it'd been months since his last true poor start.
    • Javier Castillo went 2-for-3 with a double, walk and an RBI; Miguel Negron had two hits.
  • Myrtle Beach 8, Winston-Salem 0
    • Steven Spurgeon struck out five over 3 2/3 scoreless innings of relief of Clevelan Santeliz, who sucked.
    • C.J. Retherford had two of the Warthogs' four hits.
  • Kannapolis 4, Lakewood 0
    • Miguel Socolovich allowed one hit over six shutout innings.
    • Oney Guillen drew three walks and scored two runs.  His dad never walked thrice in a major-league game.
    • Jim Gallagher went 3-for-5 with a double and an RBI.
    • Brent Morel had two singles.
  • Bristol 10, Johnson City 4
    • Po-Yun Lin struck out eight over six innings, allowing one run.
    • Juan Silverio went 2-for-5 with a homer and three RBI.
    • Andrew Garcia had three hits and two RBI; Brandon Short had two hits and two RBI.
  • Missoula 7, Great Falls 2
    • Mike Grace hit a solo homer; Nicholas Damas had two hits.
    • Joshua Billeaud threw two scoreless innings.

Comments

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 10:55 AM by soxfan1
I'm still smiling about last night's game!!! Did you hear the boos by the Tiger fans at the end of the top of the 9th?? They were really tweaked!!
Misc. thoughts: I'm also expecting Fields to get some big hits in the next 2 weeks. This latest back episode does it for me with Crede. He was great in 2005 but now he is damaged goods. I wouldn't offer him any kind of deal at season's end.
Time to bring up Haeger or Wasserman if Linebrink goes on the DL.

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 11:31 AM by Florida Jim
I did not see any news about Fields being called up and I was delighted when I saw him in the line-up. Crede has had no bigger fan than I but he is not getting the job done and it is time to give Fields a, full, opportunity.
We have Alexi, Cabrera, and one or two minor leaguers who may play second if Alexi moves over to short.
We also have the draft pick, Gordon Beckham, who was outstanding in college and should be given a shot in the next two years for somewhere in infield.

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 1:03 PM by Fundman
Third, probably unrealistic, endorsement of Fields from me. I thought trading Crede earlier in the year made sense, but obviously now with him hurt and Blake on the market it's pointless, but I agree with y'all. He adds a lot of potential pop to a line-up with a lot of pop already.

And can someone please mention KW as exec of the year? He not only does it with a lot of off season pick-ups, but how about re-signing Buehrle and Dye last year? What's the last mistake he's made?

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 1:41 PM by onlysoxfaninboston
RE: Exec of the year, I don't recall much criticism from the general media about the Buehrle signing. With Dye, I thought the concern was over the insertion of the no-trade clause. Regardless, Dye has performed well since second half 2007.

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 1:56 PM by soxexile
Maybe you could argue that last year's bullpen was KW's most recent mistake, but he's gotten most everything right this year. I'm eager to see how he handles the next several winters, when he has to rebuild the Thome/Dye/Konerko heart of the order, while still looking for a real leadoff hitter.

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Saturday, July 26, 2008 11:25 PM by Jim Margalus
I think the general consensus was that Buehrle gave the Sox a hometown discount. And Dye's deal wasn't bad in a vacuum, but there were a few of those that looked like KW was rewarding guys for bad years, and maintaining the status quo for a team in need of a kick in the ass.

Linebrink *might* be a mistake still. He still has 3 1/2 to go.

# re: The feel-good hit of the summer

Sunday, July 27, 2008 12:12 PM by soxfan1
Think about the off-season acquisitions: Quentin, Swisher, Cabrera, Ramirez, Dotel & Linebrink. Four starting players and two guys for the bullpen. There is no doubt that Kenny should be exec of the year!! The writers will probably give it to the guy in Tampa but my vote would be KW. He should have won it in 2005 also!!