posted on Saturday, March 22, 2008 3:16 AM by Jim

One player, many guesses, no friggin' clue

I previewed Alexei Ramirez, which really isn't as much of a preview as it is a place to put down my best guess at his final 2008 line, since we've only known him for a month.  I'm curious as to what you think he's going to do, because I'm 100 points of OPS under PECOTA, and there aren't any other projections readily available.

Here's another good example of how it's impossible to come to a consensus on this guy.  First, via SI.com's Jon Heyman:

Cuban import Alexei Ramirez (.366 this spring) has won fans in the organization this spring with a strong offensive showing and obvious athleticism, but a scout on another team said he believes Ramirez isn't quite ready. That scout said, "He needs to go down to the minors to learn how to play.''

And then via ESPN.com's Jayson Stark:

"He's your eye-popper, based on tools alone," said one scout. "He's got the whole package -- the body, the bat speed, hands, arm, body control. How it translates remains to be seen. But when you think of players, he just looks the part."

The thing is, they both could be right.

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Here's a wonderful omen, if you're wondering whether the Sox will finally be able to hit left-handed pitching in 2008.  Look at Barry Zito's spring line entering today, then stack it against his performance against the Sox today:
  • Before: 12.2 IP, 21 H, 24 R, 21 ER, 10 BB, 0 K
  • Today:  5.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 4 K
Ramirez, facing a curveball pitcher for once, struck out looking on one in his first at-bat.  He also flew out to left (broken bat) off Zito, and popped out foul down the right field line later in the game off Keiichi Yabu.  He did drive in Juan Uribe with a sac fly to provide a go-ahead run, although the Sox didn't hold the lead in the bottom half of the ninth.

Uribe is staying, by the way.  If nothing else, the waiver attempt provided Carl Skanberg some terrific fodder.

Comments

# re: One player, many guesses, no friggin' clue

Saturday, March 22, 2008 6:58 AM by ChicagoPete
Ramirez really baffles me. I find it very odd that 29 teams passed on him after scouting him in the Dominican this winter, then we pick him up at a relative bargain of $1mm/yr and a couple months later he looks like Alfonso Soriano, Jr. You'd think that a toolsy guy with this kind of pop in his bat would've generated at least a minor bidding war.

# re: One player, many guesses, no friggin' clue

Saturday, March 22, 2008 10:23 AM by CT Sox
I agree. With the apparent holes in his swing, I foresee early struggles with breaking balls, pressing, more struggles, more pressing, letting it affect his defense, trip to Charlotte, KW claiming that "we rushed him." I hope I am wrong.

# re: One player, many guesses, no friggin' clue

Saturday, March 22, 2008 11:08 AM by larry
now i understand the ramirez signing. we needed someone who looked like a baseball player to replace erstie.

# re: One player, many guesses, no friggin' clue

Saturday, March 22, 2008 9:44 PM by Jim Margalus
The Erstad thing reminds me: Has Ramirez ever played in cold weather? I don't know all the places the Cuban team has played, but he could very well be playing baseball in sub-50 degree weather for the first time.