posted on Wednesday, March 12, 2008 4:13 AM by Jim

Owens previewed, back in action

It's a sad state of affairs when Jerry Owens is easier to consider a lock for opening day than Josh Fields.  Alas, that appears to be a case, and thus Owens receives his preview first.

Owens returned to game action after taking a few days off to rest his groin, and he's happy with the early returns:

"It's behind me physically; it's the mental part we're trying to get over now.  When I have to react to a ball off the bat, there were a couple of balls I was able to get to, and I didn't think about it. I made the play and threw the ball in, then I was thinking, 'OK, it's a little sore.' That helps me know that the strength is there, the flexibility is there. Now it's a matter of just forgetting about it and playing.''

Of course, this doesn't do much to assuage anybody who's following Owens' injury situation and having flashbacks to Scott Podsednik's last two spring trainings with the Sox.  Nor does it encourage anybody who's hoping Owens won't be the Sox's regular third outfielder.  Nor the ones who hope he doesn't lead off.

I fit squarely in all three categories, but I've pretty much said all I can on the subject of lineups by now.  It's clear Ozzie Guillen prefers Owens, and as long as he can run, he'll receive a bulk of the playing time, and it doesn't make a whole lot of sense to devote thousands of keystrokes to the subject, at least until the real games start.

In the meantime, here are two points that I'll try to use in coping with this:

No. 1:  Independent of how he's used, Owens seems pretty likable.  He's learned from his mistakes, understands his limitations, respects those around him, works hard, and unlike a lot of Sox prospects, has showed signs of improvement after early struggles.  As much as I don't want the leadoff position ceded to him, I'm not going to root against him.

No. 2:  He'll be hitting behind Uribe in some form.  When going through State of the Sox for 2007, I noticed several occasions where Owens failed to drive in a runner on third with less than two outs.  So I looked up the numbers, and here are his stats with runners on third:
  • Third only: 1-for-11
  • First and third: 1-for-7
  • Second and third: 0-for-4
  • Bases loaded: 3-for-6
The final line: .179/.281/.179.  That's a small sample size, but it makes sense.  Owens hits a lot of tappers and unremarkable grounders -- and he isn't an All-Star bunter -- so it makes sense that he would have below-average success in situations where runners aren't going on contact, especially on a team as slow as the Sox.

Uribe, meanwhile, is usually pretty good at getting runners home from third with less than two outs.  At the very least, he's considerably better than Owens.  So if Ozzie slots Uribe ahead of Owens at the bottom of the order, Owens' weakness in this facet should be minimized since Uribe struggles to get on base to begin with, much less make it to third.

Granted, I doubt either of these points will be factors in Owens' success or the team's success as a whole -- the first point is subjective, and the second point only refers to a very specific situation.  I'd just rather look for silver lining than beat a dead horse at this point in the year.

**********************

I'll be addressing the third base situation in the next day or two, but I thought this quote from Fields was interesting:

"Sometimes it may sound easier than it is, but sometimes [it's] something so simple as my hands being in a bad spot whenever I get ready to hit," Fields said. "Down here, where guys are coming in fresh, [throwing] 95-96 m.p.h., to when you catch them at midseason when they are at 90, 91. You can't have those little defects in your swing to get hits. Your swing has to be right. I have to keep remembering that's what spring training is for."

It caught my attention because we talked about Fields' hand positioning way back on New Year's Eve.  In short, he holds his hands and elbow low before the pitch arrives, causing a hitch in his swing that prevents him from catching up to high fastballs.  We'll see if this is the problem he's addressing soon enough, but I'd be surprised if he kicked this habit completely in the near future.

Comments

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 3:50 PM by MattTheRock
Owens= Willy Tavares. Well at least that's his ceiling. You know what you're getting at least. If he stays healthy and he understands how to bunt his way aboard, he'll hit for over .300 average. With that being said, yeah, he's the last guy you want at the plate with runners on. Just know, he'll frustrate you because he's going to go extremely hot and cold. When he's hot, you'll love him at the top of the order... but when he's cold, you'll be thinking fondly of Scotty P.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 4:45 PM by Orestes
I think we did pretty good if I recall when Pods was healthy and I believe you have to give speed like Owens a full shot at it.

Nothing screws with a pitcher's focus like speed on the base path..and if he fails, hey, Plan B

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 5:56 PM by Orestes
BA making a statement out there in the desert

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 9:13 PM by Eight O'Clock Thunder
I'm also not going to root against Jerry, but I hate the thought of a player who is much more talented than him, Carlos Quentin, riding the bench.

And yes, BA looks great, but I'm still leery of him at this point. He's teased us before.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 9:56 PM by Jim Margalus
"I think we did pretty good if I recall when Pods was healthy and I believe you have to give speed like Owens a full shot at it."

I did an entire series on the Podsednik effect -- click my name for the link.

I'd be more upset about Quentin if he were outplaying Owens, but he's looking shaky so far. Definitely not 100 percent, and may not be by Opening Day.

Likewise, I'm skeptical about BA, but I'm keeping an open mind.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 11:19 PM by soxexile
Sure, BA looks great, just as he often does in Arizona. Maybe he's got his head on a little straighter, maybe not. I still think he's going to have to set the world on fire to get any significant playing time from Ozzie, and there's too many guys ahead of him in line to expect that will happen.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 11:49 PM by dudeman
"...I believe you have to give speed like Owens a full shot at it."

This is not a track team. Speed is most definitely a valuable tool, but to give a fast guy a "full shot" the guy should have at least one other skill. Be it great defense or power or whatever. Owens does not have another above average skill. Plain and simple. He is truly a one tool player. Even if he could hit 300, it would be an empty 300, a la Juan Pierre.

Guys like Jose Reyes or Kenny Lofton of years ago get their chances because they are above average at other things baseball players do. Please do not confuse any fast guy as Reyes/Lofton type of talents. Those are truly rare.
Maybe we should trade for Joey Gathright! That guy can burn.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Thursday, March 13, 2008 2:08 AM by Jim Margalus
I was impressed with Owens' fly-tracking abilities last year -- better than I thought in center. His arm isn't good, but I'd consider his defense a tool. Not as good as Anderson's, but not negligible.

Owens had a .342 OBP in his second stint in '07 -- with his speed, that's an asset to the Sox lineup, which is starving for another above-average OBP, regardless of pop. We just don't know if that's hot streak for him, or representative of an expected baseline.

At the same time, we don't know if Anderson won't crap the bed in April, or if Quentin's healthy enough to hit like he showed he could in Triple-A.

I just think there are too many "ifs" to get too fired up about any particular candidate right now, and there's still a lot to learn. Sadly, Owens has the best recent major-league track record by far.

# re: Owens previewed, back in action

Thursday, March 13, 2008 10:10 AM by Orestes
Well covered Jim...Owens showed enough stick and glove in the second half to merit a shot.

We'll see if he deserves it.