Wednesday, October 31, 2007 - Posts

Can't get enough Coco Crisp? You're in luck

In your daily dose of Coco Crisp news, Baseball Prospectus' Joe Sheehan was the latest to connect the Boston center fielder with the White Sox:

Red Sox trade CF Coco Crisp to the White Sox for 1B Chris Carter. Boston must unload Crisp [...]  The White Sox are focused on the short term, as shown by their extending the contracts of veterans Jermaine Dye and Mark Buehrle. So 20-year-old first baseman Carter, who was third in the Class A Sally League with 25 homers, is expendable. Getting Crisp, 28, who is owed a very reasonable $11 million over the next two years, at a down moment would be smart shopping.

This deal would disappoint me, because now that Josh Fields appears entrenched in the 25-man roster, Carter is the one legitimate power bat the Sox have in the farm system.  He has noticeable flaws -- he strikes out a lot and barely registers any defensive value at first base -- but he has the one tool the rest of the system lacks.

Here's a good way to illustrate it -- I went to my Baseball America 2007 Prospect Handbook to see if they rated Carter as the most powerful prospect in the system, and the survey saaaaaid:

Best Raw Power:  White Sox scouting director Duane Shaffer saw DH/C Tyler Reves (4) hit a ball over a four-lane road that runs behind Arizona State's Packard Stadium, the longest ball he's seen hit in 27 years scouting there. If Reves is going to find a position, first base is more likely than catcher.

Reves slugged .423 at a 22-year-old in rookie ball in 2006, and followed that up with two homers in 286 at-bats at Winston-Salem.  Carter, meanwhile, slugged .570 as a 19-year-old at Great Falls, so it's safe to say that nobody really comes close.  At least discounting non-prospect types like Thomas Collaro.

(Aside: I wonder if Kenny Williams brought any of this up when talking to Shaffer about his dismissal.)

Crisp is good, and Carter's huge swing could endanger any chances of stardom.  At the same time, that seems like such a good deal for Boston that it's almost unfair to the White Sox by default.  That scenario is easily a win-win for Theo Epstein, because he gets to clear salary, a roster spot and acquires an intriguing prospect to boot.  Crisp is a good complimentary player and nothing more, and if Kenny Williams can't achieve anything else to improve the White Sox's chances, I don't see the move paying off.

The Mike Lowell situation may help the White Sox in negotiations.  If the Red Sox don't re-sign him, might Joe Crede interest them?  The other scenario is playing Kevin Youkilis at third and David Ortiz at first, giving them one of the worst infield defenses in baseball.  Crede, as long as he's able to play, would fill that gap.  His contract and agent would leave them without a third baseman after the year, but Jed Lowrie could be ready by the summer if he's moved off short.  It's probably wishful thinking, but Crede and a non-top-seven prospect or non-Jenks bullpen arm is where I'd start negotiating from.

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The Elias free agent rankings were released, and good luck figuring them out.  Aaron Rowand is a Type A free agent, and Andruw Jones is a "B."

After Rowand and Jones, the next player I looked up? David Riske.  He's back down to B-level after enjoying A-list status last year -- you know, when the Sox didn't offer him arbitration and lost the chance at two extra draft picks.

That's funny for a couple reasons -- one, because he had a better year in 2007 than he did in 2006, and also because he declined his $2.9 million option to test free agency once again.  The Elias rankings are a fickle mistress, so it's probably not a good idea to pass on taking advantage of Type A status when you get the chance.

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If you're sick of Crisp (and even I'm getting there), you should get a one-day reprieve tomorrow.  The baseball annual publication season begins as The Bill James Handbook 2008 hits the bookstores.  Like last year, I'll go through it and pick out some of the more interesting ways they quantify the White Sox's lousy season.

Pity the fools in the B.A. Ba-fracas

Hours before the Sox officially showed the door to one of their center fielders, another one asked for the same treatment.

Yup, Brian Anderson, the bastard stepchild of the White Sox farm system, resurfaced and fired some measured shots at the White Sox organization:

"If the White Sox are really worried about me getting at-bats, well, I sat on [the bench] and had 17 at-bats for the whole first month [last season]," said Anderson of a possible winter playing stint in Mexico during an interview with MLB.com. "Apparently, at-bats weren't that important.

"I haven't really thought about that. I'm not sure what's going on because nobody [from the White Sox] has contacted me about what's going on.

"I'm not a 6-year-old. It would be nice to talk to someone and find out why I'm going there and as to how it will benefit me, instead of someone saying, 'You are going down there,'" Anderson added. "If someone wants to come and tell me something, I can handle it. If I can handle hitting .225 in the big leagues, I can handle getting news that's not too great about me."

The problem is that he's correct enough to have reason to run his mouth without the filter that should've developed for a guy who hit .225 in his only major-league season and admitted he wasn't a coach's dream.  Basically, this whole squabble comes down to three points.

No. 1: The start of 2007.  As long as Erstad stayed healthy throughout spring training, Anderson did not have a shot at winning the center field job despite Ozzie Guillen's claims to the contrary.

If it were an open competition, Anderson would have won it handily.  Not only did he finish with a spring training OPS 138 points higher than Erstad's, but he also made a far stronger first impression as well.  Ozzie just didn't want to see him, either way.

Instead, Anderson received playing time in an awkward fashion, and lost all momentum he gained in Tucson.  Erstad didn't make the decision pay off, either.

Point: Anderson.

No. 2:  The wrist injury.  Anderson played his last game of the season on July 6, which is about the same time Jerry Owens started getting the bulk of the starts in center, with assists by Andy Gonzalez and Luis Terrero.  Even Scott Podsednik spent time in center in September, the same position Ozzie wouldn't let him touch in 2006.

So chances are that if Anderson were healthy and hitting reasonably well, he would've been back in the majors.  Ozzie can have all the anti-B.A. bias in the world, and he still probably couldn't justify playing Gonzalez instead.  As Dave Studeman at The Hardball Times noted, Gonzalez was the fifth-worst value on the Sox -- and he made the league minimum!

But Anderson wasn't healthy.  And, according to the article, he still isn't:

While Anderson feels as if he's "maxing out" physically during the offseason for the first time in his career and building up his athleticism instead of just getting stronger, he remains limited to numerous light swings in the batting cage. Simply put, the injury suffered at the plate during a July 6 contest for Triple-A Charlotte isn't completely stable enough for Anderson to compete.

Anderson can make the claim that his "bad attitude" is subjective, but lengthy injuries make a measurable impact.  If he's making an effort to improve the former issue in light of the latter, it's not showing.  When you combine the two, you have a player nobody wants to devote a lot of time to.

Point: Sox.

No. 3:  Communication breakdown.  There's no doubt a rift between Anderson and Guillen exists.  It's much harder to peg where Kenny Williams stands.  The GM has offered plenty of encouraging words for his No. 1 pick in the 2003 draft, but nothing has come of them when it comes to playing time.

At any rate, it's clear that the difference in opinion has left Anderson twisting in the wind in more than one occasion.

At the same time, Anderson acknowledges in the article that he doesn't exactly know how the game is played.  It seems unwise to rail on a process about which he's not 100 percent certain.

Point: Push.

Looking at it this way, Anderson's batting .500.  That's nothing to celebrate.  Frank Thomas -- who has done a little more than hit .225 in one big-league season -- was half-right a lot of the time, and a fat lot of good that did him.

Basically, it's shaping up to be one of the dumbest chickenfights in recent history, and it hasn't even come to a head yet.  In one corner, Anderson has an overinflated sense of self-worth and isn't afraid to show it.  In the other, Ozzie hasn't truly let loose on the subject yet, although he came close in that Mike North interview last March.

Overseeing the whole thing is Williams, a guy who isn't afraid to rail against players who have disrespected the Sox organization when it's better to remain mum.  So far, he's handled it with an unusual amount of grace and saavy.

Unfortunately, he has to show restraint.  He already learned that lesson the hard way when he blasted Jon Rauch after the world's tallest pitcher left a game early, depleting his trade value in the process. Fortunately, he could afford to do that with Rauch, who never came close to meeting the organization's expectations after undergoing shoulder surgery.  He's a serviceable reliever with the Nationals, but nobody's agonizing over his departure.

The circumstances are different this time, because Williams hitched his wagon to Anderson with the Javier Vazquez-Chris Young trade.  There's the perception out there -- and it's been disputed -- that Anderson could've been property of the Arizona Diamondbacks had Williams sized up his prospects differently.

Whether or not that's the case, the reality is that Anderson was declared the future center fielder without much of a backup plan.  What's scarier is that this dispute is entering Year No. 3, and it's only going to grow more embarrassing unless somebody takes drastic action.

They came. They saw. They stunk.

Scott Merkin bears good news:

CHICAGO -- The White Sox declined club options on both outfielder/first baseman Darin Erstad and left-handed reliever Mike Myers, with both veterans officially filing for free agency on Tuesday.

So Kenny Williams is 2-for-2 with his first two decisions of the offseason.  Of course, Williams went 3-for-3 last year with similarly easy decisions, picking up options on Mark Buehrle, Jermaine Dye and Tadahito Iguchi, so that doesn't necessarily foreshadow success.  Nevertheless, it's two small steps in the right direction.

If I had to write a eulogy for Erstad, this is what it would look like:



There's nothing much else to say, because his 2007 season surprised nobody -- except maybe the people who hired him.

He would've been useful if given 150-200 at-bats as a primary backup at first and center field.  Instead, the guy who hurt himself the last two seasons he spent significant time in the outfield was anointed the starting center fielder.  His contract included an $6 million option that vested if he accrued 600 plate appearances.  He finished with 345.  His longest stint on the DL came after injuring his ankle on a regular swing.

In other words, it was doomed for the start.  Piling on would be overkill, because he's not a bad guy.  He's just not a particularly good baseball player, either.

Myers, meanwhile, finished his White Sox career with an 11.20 ERA over 13 2/3 innings -- the fifth-highest single-season ERA of any White Sox pitcher who threw at least 13 innings.