February 2007 - Posts

Yeeeeah ... let's just end this month


To recap:
Good times.

I found this bit about Mark Buehrle interesting:

Buehrle gave up three hits on first pitches and admitted he will need to focus on higher-quality offerings early in the count with the opposition sitting on a pitcher consistently around the strike zone.

I hope he's not just realizing this now, considering this is how hitters went about dismantling him last year.  When he gave up seven runs in the first inning to the Twins, they sent 11 batters to the plate on only 29 pitches.  The Cubs had 10 at-bats on 24 pitches when they did the same thing to him in July.

My old school (photo)

If you didn't get enough of high school yearbook photos the first time around, I have something for you! 

Thanks to the reader who e-mailed this one to me today:

Can you name the current White Sox from the picture to the right?

(At first I thought it was the oldest kid on Home Improvement.)

The 'do and the shirt should give you some clue as to the timeframe of this picture.  Man, I remember when this haircut was the rage.  Didn't look good then, doesn't look good now.

First person to answer correctly wins... that's it.  Just wins.

Little Sarge in big trouble?

For the few of you out there who were truly bummed that the Sox didn't try for Gary Matthews Jr. (I'm looking at you, Cowley), he's one of seven athletes connected to a steroid bust conducted by the Albany DA in Orlando Fla., according to a story by the Albany Times Union:

The Times Union has learned that investigators in the year-old case, which has been kept quiet until now, uncovered evidence that testosterone and other performance-enhancing drugs may have been fraudulently prescribed over the Internet to current and former Major League Baseball players, National Football League players, college athletes, high school coaches, and a former Mr. Olympia champion and another top contender in the bodybuilding competition.

The customers include Los Angeles Angels centerfielder Gary Matthews Jr., according to sources with knowledge of the investigation.

Top 6 Ozzie Guillen quotes of Spring Training (so far)

No. 6:  “It’s up to Cooper. If he don’t screw this thing up, we should win.’’ -- Ozzie on Don Cooper.

No. 5:   "Usually the manager wants his players to get a hit.  I cheer for him not to get a hit because then he will have to run the bases.'' -- Ozzie on Jose Contreras.

No. 4:  "That thing might bite you, and you might be dead in this desert." -- Ozzie on a random bee.

No. 3:  "Hermie told me that A.J. is a little slow running the bases. I told him, no kidding, what have you been watching over the past two years?" -- Ozzie on A.J. Pierzynski's ankle.

No. 2:  "They asked [Freddy Garcia] who was crazier, [Charlie] Manuel or Guillen?  I won.  I'm the No. 1 crazy guy." -- Ozzie on himself.

No. 1:  "I don't think you're going to see Mackowiak in center field that much -- I want to keep my job. And I think Mackowiak wants to keep his job, too.''  -- Ozzie on Rob Mackowiak.

Spring Training stock report

As Sox pitchers enter Phase 3 (profit!) and position players start getting their hacks, it's a good time to assess where certain players stand.
Brian Anderson
He's saying all the right things.  He's supposedly doing the right things (Scott Merkin reports that he's using his lower body in each swing more).  Still, reading that Ozzie Guillen is considering starting lefty Darin Erstad against lefty C.C. Sabathia on Opening Day doesn't inspire confidence, especially since Erstad has equally as much to prove.
Gavin Floyd
Considered the favorite for the fifth-starter spot before Spring Training started, and considering Nick Masset is 99 percent likely to end up in the bullpen, the job's his if he wants it.  Don Cooper's pretty sure he knows what's been holding Floyd back, and Ozzie likes the way he throws.
Robert Valido
Valido said that he and Ozzie "are trying to get eye-to-eye."  Meanwhile, Ozzie's starting to talk up Andy Gonzalez.
Incumbent minor-league arms
With the importation of several power pitchers and re-shuffling of the scouting crews, it may have provided some motivation to Lance Broadway and Adam Russell.  Russell fits right in with the bullpen in terms of height (6-8), but Broadway gets slagged, perhaps unfairly, for being symbolic of the old regime: a polished, low-ceiling pitcher.  He's done nothing but produce so far in his minor-league career, and the addition of a two-seamer might help him like it did Jon Garland.
Ryan Sweeney, Josh Fields
Kenny Williams said Josh Fields would only spend 20 percent of his time in the outfield, and the rest honing his skills at third base.  There go my dreams of him as a possible leadoff man.  Meanwhile, Ozzie says of Ryan Sweeney, "I don't want to hear this from my general manager, but if we have Sweeney on the team, it's bad news."
Scott Podsednik
Article after article after article shows Podsednik having a better attitude than last season, and he's expecting to be healthier overall.  I'm still not convinced he's going to make positive overall contributions in 2007.

He wuz Rob-bed

I have a couple of stickings points with the latest Phil Rogers column -- and its not where I'd expect.  Rogers was all over Kenny Williams earlier in the offseason for the Freddy Garcia and Brandon McCarthy trades, going so far as to call him "arrogant", but there's no mention of that here, surprisingly.  Rogers is actually optimistic about what the power arms Williams acquired can do for this year's squad.

Here's one point that's somewhat funny...

X-factor: Keep an eye on rookie Oneli Perez. He was dominant in the low minors last season and then pitched extremely well in the Dominican Republic this winter. He could be a pleasant surprise.

...considering Perez didn't even merit a mention in Rogers' list of top 10 Sox prospects he compiled for Baseball America.  Somebody's hopping on the Oneli bandwagon.

The other one is downright frustrating:

Last year: White Sox pinch-hitters batted .224. Alex Cintron had his moments, but the addition of Rob Mackowiak did not pay major dividends. [...] [Mackowiak's] effectiveness dropped in 2006, perhaps because his at-bats also dropped, and it is hard to forecast more than another 255 at-bats for him this season unless he somehow winds up getting extended playing time in left field or at second base.

By most accounts, Mackowiak actually had a more effective season than any of his other campaigns.  Consider:
  1. He set a career-high in batting average (.290).
  2. He set a career-high in OBP (.365).
  3. He set a career-high in OPS. (.788)
  4. He batted .300+ in three consecutive months (a first for him).
  5. He batted .350/.458/.500 as a pinch hitter
The only thing slightly underwhelming about his performance offensively was his slugging percentage -- at .404, it was the second-lowest of his career.  But if the OBP/SLG tradeoff is necessary, I'd take that .365 OBP every time.

Of course, his center field defense offset those contributions some, but I'm pretty sure Rogers is only talking about his bat.

The pinch-hitting situation does warrant monitoring, because while the Sox don't have Chris Widger or Sandy Alomar Jr. (1-for-12 combined), they lose Ross Gload's awesome bench bat (7-for-20).  Cintron also needs to improve on his 1-for-14 performance last season.

Buck stopped there

Click on the below picture to read (most of) Buck Weaver's request to Commissioner Ford Frick for reinstatement, which Frick denied.



And if you care to see how much snow Cooperstown saw, I added a few shots from this morning's visit to the photo gallery.

Aardsma previewed

The second-greatest figure in the history of Cherry Creek High School, David Aardsma, has been previewed for the 2007 season.  As always, remember to leave your projections for each player between now and the start of the season.

The gang's all here

Juan Uribe finally reported to camp today, although remarkably it seems that he is both in the clear and still required to attend a court hearing in a month. At least he's lost some weight.  The Southtown's Nate Whalen posted the transcript of his news conference in his blog.

(By the way, if anybody knows the address of the Dominican farmer, maybe we should send him something.)

Now, should this whole shooting incident truly be behind him, we're left with the good bad questions, namely "Can he hit again?"

One thing that sticks in my head is hearing about Frank Thomas serving as a second hitting coach for Juan Uribe.  When Juan would have one of his patented terrible at-bats, Thomas would get on his case about it, and Uribe appreciated it.  I could be making this all up, because Google doesn't back me up here, but I swear I heard this.  I think Frank had Willie Harris under his wing as well.

Anyway, I decided to take Baseball Musings' database for a spin and separate the Torpedo Boat's numbers into two fields -- when Frank was healthy, and when he wasn't.

There is a noticeable difference, though with a big caveat:

 ABHHRRBIBBKBAOBPSLG
 w/o Thomas
1,0432654616050179.254.288.454
 w/ Thomas
40711014582976.270.318.452

While Uribe's plate discipline seems to improve with Thomas' presence, most of that has to do with the way Uribe started out his 2004 campaign -- .282/.337/.488 between Opening Day and July 7 (the last game Thomas played in 2004).  When Thomas returned to the lineup in 2005 for his 43 games, Uribe didn't respond (.236/.271/.350).  Basically Uribe's been hitting at that top line since the Big Hurt went down in '04.

That said, segregating the numbers doesn't really mean anything.  But SSJ Reb reminded me in the previous post's comments when talking about Thomas as a hitting coach, and since I looked this all up, there wasn't much point in keeping it to myself.

I'd gladly take that if he got back to playing Gold Glove-caliber defense.  I just don't know if there's much reason to hold out hope for much more.

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In additional news, Chicago Heights native Bret Prinz and the Sox agreed to a minor-league deal.  Given the assortment of injuries he's suffered, they may as well call him "Delicate and Tender" Prinz.

OK, this signing doesn't really have any implications whatsoever, but can't a brother make a Hamlet joke?

Spring training story clearinghouse (all sales final)

Get ready for not one, not two, but three stories about Scott Podsednik.  From Joe Cowley's version:

Podsednik admitted he brought his poor at-bats onto the field with him and failed to get the job done defensively. At one point, hitting coach Greg Walker said he never had seen a player who beat himself up as much as Podsednik.

The Sox knew something had to be done -- ''Dr. Phil stuff,'' as Walker called it.

Which brings me to throw this question: Can you think of a more high-maintenance player in recent Sox history than Pods?  Obviously Frank Thomas comes to mind, but the guy hit as long as he could swing.  I'm thinking more along the lines of the amount of work and discipline that goes into making a guy merely adequate and barely healthy.

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While chewing on that, more Dr. Phil stuff, courtesy of Chris De Luca's Brandon McCarthy piece:

"The second Jon Daniels called me, it was just a different attitude right off the bat,'' McCarthy said. ''[With the Sox] I was constantly hearing, 'This is what we don't like. This is what we think you are doing wrong. This is what's bad, this is bad.' It always seemed to be focused on the negative. Here, it's just, 'Here is your spot, and we expect you to do well and we think the world of you. Let's see you go do it.'

''And that has made it a lot more comfortable. To finally have that support, instead of wondering, 'What's going to happen next?' in terms of something negative.''

I'm sure the attitude in Texas is downright jubilant now that William Nathaniel Showalter is no longer stalking the dugout wearing a jacket in every kind of weather.  But mostly, McCarthy's going from a team that demands the most out of its starting pitching to a team that's had little pitching to speak of since Nolan Ryan retired.

Something that should help his transition:  Neither team has received much from trading talented Chris Youngs.

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Jermaine Dye is cool with everything, Joe Cowley reports:

"You guys know me -- I'm laid-back,'' Dye said. ''If you are a younger player, I'm sure it would be tougher. But I've been around the game long enough to know that I've played through a lot of stuff.

''I've played through injuries, family issues with my dad or whatever, and I've been through stuff that something like this won't bother me. I've already made enough money to take care of my family.''

If he has a year anywhere near his 2006, I'd gladly pay him Carlos Lee-like money, though not for more than four years.  Watching his skills decline in right make me wonder if his hitting would eventually see a similar downward trajectory.

Then again, if Kenny Williams were to overpay/extend him, I can't see myself getting mad.  He's been money, so I don't see why he doesn't deserve it.

----------------

Did you realize Joe Crede was second in games played last year?  I didn't:

He noted that he was second on the club to Paul Konerko (152) in games played. The fact that he missed only 12 games convinced Dossett that Crede didn't need surgery.

Crede would've been better off missing more of the last month when something was visibly awry, but the point is still a strong one.  I'll still be holding my breath until October, though.

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See a "best shape" story?  Let The Reader know.  So far, Mark Buehrle is the only Sox on the list:

[Mark Buehrle] is excited about an offseason workout program that he believes has him in the best shape of his career. He's pumped about his last throwing session off the mound, in which he felt he had ''no-hit stuff.'' (Feb. 17, Chicago Sun-Times)

Bobby Jenks ought to be up there as well.

A one-two punch of redundancy

It's time for MLB.com's Third Annual This Is The Year Javier Vazquez Puts It All Together Story, courtesy of Scott Merkin:

"There will come a time where he puts it together, and if he puts it together and gets on a roll, he could win a Cy Young," said White Sox general manager Ken Williams. "I don't think there's any doubt he's got some of the best stuff in the league."

"I make a prediction this is going to be one of Javy's best years," Guillen added. "This year he will prove to people how good he is."

Compare:

2006"However, [Vazquez] has great raw stuff, an understanding of how to pitch and is the innings-eater the White Sox covet, with the potential to win 15 to 18 games per season. Turning Vazquez back around shouldn't be much of a project at all for Cooper and the White Sox -- probably less of an effort than it was with Contreras, who brought with him a pedigree as one of Cuba's greatest pitchers but who had not achieved consistent Major League success."

2005"[Poor mechanics, Vazquez] said, was the reason for the struggles with location and velocity and, after working on his mechanics during the offseason, he feels his problems are a thing of the past."

I'll believe it when I see it.

Speaking of annual storylines, second prize goes to "Tadahito Iguchi's Place in the Batting Order."  I offer you a Joe Cowley-Mark Gonzalez double-team:

''It all depends on Brian and Podsednik, how their situation is,'' Guillen said. ''I would really like to have 'Igu' down in the lineup. On the days Erstad hits first and Podsednik hits second, then maybe I put Iguchi down in the lineup at seventh. But right now, we're trying to figure out a different type of lineup.''

Before that comes to a head, manager Ozzie Guillen would like to try Iguchi again in the seventh spot because of his run-producing skills--but only if he can get a better on-base percentage from those at the top of the order.

Previously, on 7th Heaven:

2006
"For starters, manager Ozzie Guillen seems more and more set on giving Juan Uribe a solid shot to anchor the second spot in the lineup and move Iguchi down in the order to a more run-producing role at sixth or seventh. Guillen spoke to Uribe by phone on Monday night and said that the shortstop was excited by the possible change."

Despite having a full season of this storyline under my belt, I still have little concept of why this is such a hot idea.  I'm not seeing where all this excess run-producing power is hiding. 

The Emperor averaged 25 homers over his last four years of Japanese ball.  He's averaged 17 in his two seasons with the White Sox.  That seems like a fair conversion to me.

You don't even have to look at his numbers.  Just look at his swing.  He changed it from '05 to '06, making it compact and inside-out, so it's not going to generate a ton of power.  What it's good at is staying out of the double play -- he cut down his GIDPs from 16 to 7.

He improved his batting eye, and he remains one of the Sox's best baserunners, and I'd rather have him putting those skills to use before Jim Thome, Paul Konerko and Jermaine Dye come to the plate, and not after.

Sox Machine Season in Review: June

If you missed the first three parts:
June 1 – Harbinger of late-season doom:  Jose Contreras has bad start, Jermaine Dye bails him out, bullpen can’t hold on.

June 3 – Sox break out of funk with seven-run inning against Showalter, who left key to baseball in other jacket.

June 4 – John Rheinecker begins building his definite future Cy Young case.

June 6 – The Sox draft Lance Broadway again.

June 7 – Cliff Politte heads to the DL; Sean Tracey joins the team, his future ahead of him bright and clear, opportunities abound…

June 7 – Cintron kills Tigers for second night in a row.

June 8 – Mackowiak makes multiple errors in center field, begging Brian Anderson to take his spot.

June 9 – Anderson…

June 11 – … finally listens.

June 13 – Corey Feldman shuts down Sox.  Corey Haim still eats sewer rats.

June 14 – …and Sean Tracey is driven to (near?) tears by Ozzie Guillen after failing to hit Hank Blalock...

June 15 – …and he’s sent down to the minors the following day to make room for David Riske.

June 15 – Somebody drove in two runs with an infield single.  There’s only one possibility here.

June 17 – Ken Griffey Jr. re-ignites trade rumors involving the White Sox after playing a worse center field than Mackowiak.

June 18 – Jon Garland beats Reds by himself.

June 20 – Mark Mulder’s a lot more hittable when he doesn’t have a shoulder.
 
June 21 – Sox provide something for Cubs fans to talk themselves into by pounding Jason Marquis for 12 runs. 

June 21
– Ozzie Guillen forces Jay Mariotti to write a rare self-righteous column.

June 23 – You would figure Tony La Russa would be described as more than “a source close the Cardinals.”  And Chris Duncan tells on Ozzie to his dad.

June 24 – Sox need Joe Crede seventh-inning grand slam to win nine games in a row for the first time since 1977.

June 25 – Iguchi tries to make it 10 by making up seven-run deficit by himself, including a grand slam for the Sox in their third straight game.

June 29 – Cliff Politte picks up where he left off by helping the Pirates snap a 13-game losing streak.

Your thoughts: Game threads

There's still a month left before the start of the season, but I figured I would throw this out there now.  I'd appreciate as many responses as possible, even from the lurkers, as I'd like to know exactly what constitutes site improvement.

(Here's where to log in, and here's where to register, if it makes it easier.  C'mon, you know you wanna.)

Question: How much interest would you have in live game threads?

Background:  The platform on which this site runs offers forums that would be an effective medium for running commentary on a ballgame. I haven't activated them for a few reasons, but as I'm re-evaluating the way I add to State of the Sox this time around, I wouldn't mind adding game threads/chatter to the mix if there's a demand for it.

That's a key "if," though, as I'd have to add customizing and troubleshooting the forums to the sizable list of site projects I have targeted for completion by the start of April.  Considering Sox Machine is a one-man operation and I'm by no means a tech wizard, I'd like to have some idea of how popular this feature would be before delving into it.

Any and all input is welcomed.

Two weeks



That is all.

Rejecter's remorse

Kenny Williams today said that he's not going to offer in-season extensions to Mark Buehrle, Jermaine Dye and Tadahito Iguchi, instead giving them the option to see what free agency has in store before negotiating with the White Sox.

While it sounds like something significant, I don't see a lot of impact in this statement.  Williams isn't going to announce the entire contract process through the media, so this is probably an effort to keep the financial heat off three guys who will play a major role in the Sox's playoff prospects in 2007.  If the players genuinely want to get something done, Williams isn't going to deny them the opportunity.

Buehrle will be the one to watch, specifically, because of the recent revelation that he rejected a three-year deal sometime last July.  As we all know, he then proceeded to nosedive the rest of the year.

And that was the second time that's happened to Buehrle.

Before the 2003 season, Buehrle rejected a deal in the neighborhood of five years and $27 million in Spring Training.  He then proceeded to go through the worst stretch of his career before the last half of 2006.  At his worst, he was 2-10 with a 5.18 ERA.  He straightened it out eventually, but after the season he and the Sox brokered his current contract -- three years, $27 million with the club option.

Perhaps that set a precedent, because Buehrle underwent another terrible three-month stretch to end the season, with a rejected contract extension at the beginning of it all. We don't have an exact date, but from July to the end of the season, Buehrle went 3-9 with a 7.12 ERA, and was the worst pitcher in the AL in the second half.

Since Buehrle threw 16 starts from July to October, let's add up those with the first 16 starts he made in 2003:

W-LIPHHRBBKERA
6-19190.22433755985.95

That's a full season's worth of work.  It should be mentioned that 5.95 ERA is buoyed by a Buehrle-tastic 12 unearned runs in the 16 starts from 2003.

It's all probably coincidence, but it'd be fascinating if Buehrle genuinely did have issues when leaving guaranteed money on the table.  If the Sox didn't have legitimate playoff hopes, I'd be tempted to offer him four years at $50 million on April 1 and see what happens.

Twelve's a crowd

Here's one storyline I'd like to see go away:

MLB.com:
Ozzie Guillen still is entertaining thoughts of breaking camp with 12 pitchers, meaning there would be just four bench spots available...

Daily Southtown:
Whether the Sox break camp with 11 or 12 pitchers also will be a big decision Guillen has to make.

Chicago Tribune:
But one of the biggest debates will be whether the Sox carry 12 pitchers or opt for one more position player.

To me, it's no debate at all -- carry an extra bench player.  Leave the anal-rententive match-up crap to Tony La Russa, because as it stands now, the Sox have a five-man bench that complements its starters well (assuming Darin Erstad is starting for Scott Podsednik):

The elements:
  1. Toby Hall.  Helps Pierzynski against lefties, better arm.
  2. Alex Cintron.  Only switch-hitter on the team, decent defender at three positions.
  3. Pablo Ozuna.  Secret weapon.  Basically will do anything he's told.
  4. Rob Mackowiak.  Good bat, good arm, good on-base skills. 
  5. Eduardo Perez. Cleveland Eduardo would help Thome (and maybe Erstad) against LHP.
I'm also hearing Luis Terrero's name bandied about, but he's never come close to producing.

Though ideally Mack would be starting in left with Erstad on the bench, the above fivesome would be hard to beat, giving the Sox three options at most of the positions on the diamond with the ability to fill in as starters for short stretches.

It'd be silly to waste that ideal sort of flexibility for a pitcher nobody would trust -- the dreaded third lefty.  Ozzie Guillen has said he wants three southpaws to be able to fend off big lefty bats like Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau, Travis Hafner, Grady Sizemore, et al.  The problem is that three of those four guys have learned how to hit lefties:
Right now, Sizemore's the only guy who's truly exploitable in a match-up situation, and I wouldn't be surprised if he figured it out in 2007.  He's good to great in every other facet of the game, and I doubt the 2007 equivalent of Kevin Walker or Boone Logan is going to make him or any of these other guys tremble in their spikes.

The Sox have three apparent horses in their bullpen in Mike MacDougal, Matt Thornton and Bobby Jenks.  Nick Masset and David Aardsma could very easily be two more.  If all goes well, the Sox will already have an inherent luxury in that sixth bullpen spot, to either go with a second lefty who presents himself or Charlie Haeger in long relief.  At that point, how many innings would this seventh reliever see a week?  It's hard to see any opportunities left.

The 2005 bullpen had only one reliable lefty, yet Guillen never managed his pitchers better because he trusted the hot hand.  To a certain extent, playing matchups is an acceptable way of going by the book.  Overdoing it, however, leads to a violation of a more important rule -- the more pitchers you bring in, the greater the chance of finding the guy who doesn't have it that day.

That's all, Foulke

While one former Sox reliever heads to Cleveland, another one is departing.

Keith Foulke, bothered over the last couple years by bad knees, a bad elbow and a worse Boston scene, called it a career today.  What's interesting is that he retired before going to camp, which means he could've easily squeezed $5 million out of the Indians and chose not to.  That takes some stones.

He'll be best remembered for his incredible performance in keying the Red Sox's comeback over the Yankees and recording the final out of the 2004 World Series, but here are the three things I'll remember about Foulke in Chicago:

No. 1:  That change.  I liked Foulke because he didn't look intimidating, and his fastball was nothing but a complementary pitch, but he still turned into a dominating closer.  It was about 10 m.p.h. slower than his fastball, and always had that bit of drop at the very end that kept hitters fooled for as long as he was healthy.  Only Pedro Martinez and Trevor Hoffman featured a better one.

No. 2:  Emblematic of Jerry Manuel's regime.  Manuel never liked Foulke.  He wanted a closer with "closer stuff," and when Foulke struggled in May, Manager Ghandi used that as an excuse to bury him.

And bury him he did.  From June to October, Foulke posted an ERA of 1.80 in 55 innings with a WHIP under 1.00 -- and saved only three more games.  Manuel instead chose Antonio Osuna and Damaso Marte to close, and it pretty much forced Kenny Williams to find somebody Manuel liked.

The Sox ended up with Billy Koch, who Manuel repeatedly trotted out in the ninth despite the fact that he had nothing going for him -- all because he threw a whopping 2 m.p.h. harder.  It wasn't long after that Manuel found himself out of a job, thank goodness.

No. 3:  The Sox-Tigers brawl.  Even though Foulke should've had some experience in fracases with his hockey background, he somehow managed to get the worst of it.  The gash on his face required five stitches, and gave him a permanent reminder of his White Sox career.

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On a brighter note:

Jay Mariotti, who pops up in the paper almost as often as those naked kids in the "Love Is ..." comics, counted up his columns the other day and realized he's already written more pieces than his contract requires him to deliver for the 12-month period ending April 30.

So rather than pound out another explanation for why things aren't the way they ought to be, he intends to take a vacation--until May. So much for the Masters, the NCAA Final Four, baseball's opening day and the first blown save of the season.

While fully aware Hawk Harrelson only needs to hear the Sun-Times columnist's name to set him off, this should hopefully give us one month free of "Heinie Bird" references and petty back-and-forth sniping.  When those two go at it, nobody wins.

I said, 'Stop!'


When I first saw the Sox's slogan for the 2007 season -- "Back to the Grind" -- I first thought of Police Academy 3.  I forget what exactly happens in that one, but I'm pretty sure it was the one where Mahoney gets involved with women, Tackleberry enjoys being armed and Jones makes all the sound effects with his mouth.  Hightower may have been tall, as well.

Thinking about it more than I should, Jim Thome would make a perfect Tackleberry -- freeze the clip three seconds in, after he takes off his sunglasses -- but now that Oprah incident pushes him closer toward Sweetchuck territory.

Sticking with the police theme, John Walsh of The Hardball Times -- not America's Most Wanted -- published his outfield arm ratings, and the Sox starting outfielders finish exactly where you think they would:

In short, Brian Anderson had the lowest "kill" rating of any center fielder, although he was the fourth-best at holding runners.  Jermaine Dye was the second-worst at throwing out runners at throwing out runners and was only average at holding them. 

And then there's Scott Podsednik. 

Pods had the third-lowest kill rating of left fielders (although placing ahead of Luis Gonzalez, who no longer has a throwing shoulder, isn't anything to be proud of).  That's not surprising, nor particularly alarming since no Sox outfielder fared well.

What is concerning is his hold rate -- at 91, it was the second-worst in the league.  When you look at his company and realize that these numbers aren't park-adjusted, it's downright pathetic.  Here's who is in his neighborhood:
  • Matt Holliday.  I was surprised to see him there until remembering he plays in the game's largest outfield.  He also happens to be paired with two of the game's strongest outfield arms, Willy Taveras and Brad Hawpe.
  • Pat Burrell.  Big guy, not particularly good instincts, but at least he has an arm to compensate.
  • Adam Dunn.  Minimal effort, maximum size.  The Reds' outfield makes the Sox's trio look positively elite.
  • Jason Bay.  A shoulder in worse shape than he lets on, and left field is the deep part of PNC.
  • Emil Brown.  Generally clumsy, but improving.
  • Alfonso Soriano.  RFK has the third-largest outfield in the game, I think, and it was his first year in the outfield.
Wow.  Walsh's ratings play to Podsednik's strengths -- U.S. Cellular doesn't offer a lot of ground to cover, and Pods has a great 40 time.  Considering getting to the ball quickly is as significant a detriment to advancing as a strong arm is, Pods should at least be average in this category.

Yet even with the system in his favor, he finds himself among a group of guys playing overweight, injured, and/or on a whole lot more real estate.  That's just atrocious.

Propping up the bar

Cliff Politte's found a home -- too bad it's with the Indians.

The former Sox right-hander signed a minor-league deal with Cleveland, and he'll have a lot of competition amongst declining veterans trying to earn a spot.  Among the other candidates are Keith Foulke and Joe Borowski. 

I'll be rooting for Cliff, while also hoping he doesn't have any measurable impact in adding to the Tribe's win total.  If that's possible.

************

I like this quote from Don Cooper regarding Jose Contreras' workout regimen:

"Contreras is a workaholic. Buehrle, he works, but he may have to change things. We want to make sure these guys can go to the post for 35 starts. It's a man's workload, for sure. Contreras has a program that is a strenuous one. What we've talked to him about, and Allen Thomas has talked to him about, is maybe he has to watch what he's doing.''

''Plus, Jose might be 50 or 60 years old, and that stuff might not be good for him anymore.  We don't know how old he is.''

If he can joke about it, I don't know why the rest of us can't.

************

Sam Smith's NBA mailbag has an interesting perspective on bloggers.  Somebody asked him what sites or blogs he reads, and he responded with "I don't read blogs."  Too much to C&P here, but here's the key quote:

How is it I can work for decades developing contacts around the NBA and traveling regularly around the NBA and talking with the decision makers and some guy in his basement in his underwear is writing something that has credibility? As close as I can figure, these bloggers are the electronic version of the neighborhood tavern. You used to go in and hear people wailing about sports or politics and offering opinions on all the major issues. We did our man in the street interviews when such issues came up. Now, these people we used to ask for opinion started these blogs and are supposed to be experts. How can that be? I never see any of them, I never hear the coaches and general managers and players I talk to saying they talked to them. So where do they get their information?

People often doubt the traditional media, but we are out asking questions, developing sources of information and interacting with the participants. What are these bloggers doing? I'm fortunate on some level to be getting close to retirement because if these blogs are credible sources of information, there's no point in spending all the time on the road that I do.

First off, I find it laughable that he thinks people like me sit around writing in their basement.  I don't even have one!

Seriously, I wouldn't be surprised if a Mark Gonzalez or Joe Cowley had a similar perspective, and I wouldn't necessarily blame them.  Beat writing is a demanding job, and journalism on the whole is difficult.  You basically risk looking stupid to hundreds of thousands of people every day, and nobody celebrates an errorless streak.  Screwing up in print makes for some terrible, terrible weeks, which I know first-hand.

That's why I try to measure my criticism of beat writers.  Columnists, since they aim to set the tone of the discussion, deserve the harder rebuttals.  That's part of their job.  But some bloggers spend 90 percent of their space ripping journalists who provide their only sources of information, and that's pretty arrogant.

There's nothing wrong with Smith's main argument, saying bloggers don't have the credibility of mainstream writers who build sources, have set-in-stone guidelines, editors and copy editors and all that.  I'd want to distance myself from the rumor-mongers and bile factories myself. 

On the other hand, I don't think bloggers are anything to be afraid of.  In fact, I'd think the good blogs would be a fertile source of story ideas, considering all the questions raised that nobody without a press pass has a way of definitively answering.  Of course there'd be a lot of trash out there, but that's no different from going through the email inbox every morning.

Only speaking for myself, I want this site to be a neighborhood tavern, not an ivory tower.  If you've read The Tender Bar by J.R. Moehringer (I'd recommend it), I'd say that I'd be perfectly happy playing the role of Steve, the respected bartender who oversees everything, directs traffic but only starts getting heavy-handed when the drunks get out of line.  Heck, I could even adopt the name "Jimbo's" since it sadly appears to be up for grabs.

Considering most good things are built upon open discourse, I'm not sure why mainstream journalists would feel threatened by them.  But considering I've written around 400,000 words on the White Sox and haven't been paid for a single one, I might be a little biased.

What's kind of funny is that my last extended rambling on journalism happened Feb. 12.  Must be something about pitchers and catchers' imminent reporting date that sets me off.  Or maybe it's just the snow this time:



Somewhere underneath that is my car.  And that was only half of the day's precipation enveloping it.

Thome boosts sales of pink No. 25 jerseys

That's not innuendo. At least I don't think it is.  Anyway, there's a special guest in the audience about halfway in, but you'll understand the awkwardness if you can tolerate that much estrogen and watch the whole clip.

ITS ORIGIN AND PURPOSE STILL A TOTAL MYSTERY.

Make that four things (updated)

No. 1:  Jon Garland's 2007 preview is up, and it includes some facts that even surprised me.  That makes 16 out of 25, or two perfect squares.  Remember to leave your projections between now and the start of the season.

No. 2:  Juan Uribe may not be in the clear, but at least he's not out of shape, according to his agent.  I hope he didn't lose all his dumpiness, as it's part of his charm.

No. 3:  This may be the coolest Chicago skyline photo I've ever seen.  It's made of 194 photos, and when you zoom in you can see into windows.

No. 4:  We're expecting 15-30 inches of snow by tomorrow night.  If there isn't a post up tomorrow night, it either means that there's nothing to write about, or I'm freezing my balls off.

Supplemental Perez

Perhaps the Kenny Williams isn't aware that to reach the World Series, you need a detrimental Perez.  Instead, he picked up one who might actually bring something to the table.

Today the White Sox announced that Eduardo Perez signed a minor-league deal with the White Sox, a move that has no negative ramifications, and the chance for positive ones.

It was only a year ago -- though it seems like much longer -- that Perez formed half of an anonymous yet incredibly effective platoon in Cleveland with Ben Broussard.  With Perez hitting lefties and Broussard taking on righties, here's the damage they did before the Tribe traded Perez on June 30:

Name AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG
Perez 99 8 22 .303 .343 .636
Broussard 197 9 35 .325 .369 .513
Total 296 17 57 .318 .359 .554


Put them together as a player, and they ranked behind only Paul Konerko in terms of OPS among American League first basemen before Perez was shipped to Seattle.

For reasons unknown, he hit a wall after being traded to the Mariners.  He was still facing as many lefties as normal (65 ABs against lefties, 22 against righties), yet only batted .195/.304/.241 for Seattle, with no measurable difference against lefties.

Since he's 37, that could mean that the Cleveland performance was a fluke.  It also likely means that his best days as a corner outfielder are behind him.  He's played mostly at first the last two years.

Nevertheless, the Sox could always use help hitting southpaws, so picking up a guy with a lifetime line of .265/.362/.501 against them -- especially one who doesn't require a spot on the 25-man roster --  is a good decision. 

There's not a lot of room for him on the Sox bench as of now.  Toby Hall, Alex Cintron and Rob Mackowiak are assured positions, and I doubt Pablo Ozuna is going anywhere.  So that leaves one spot for Josh Fields, Ryan Sweeney, Perez, or any other spring surprise.

If he starts out the season in Charlotte, he'll have places to play, whether as a platoon partner for Casey Rogowski, spare outfield jobs or DHing.  There aren't a lot of big bats in the Knights lineup.

And if he sucks -- well, as Timo Perez and Neifi Perez have shown, that might not be such a bad thing, either.

Preview three-pack

With White Sox pitchers and catchers only four days away from reporting, baseball outlets are rolling out previews in full force.

The Sun-Times' Joe Cowley offers five lesser players who are under the gun as much as the big names:

All eyes will be on Podsednik's groin -- literally.

Speak for yourself.

The Daily Southtown's Nathaniel Whalen has five items on Ozzie Guillen's to-do list:

Failing to execute "Ozzieball" cost the Sox a fair number of games in 2006 -- perhaps even a spot in the postseason -- and the manager hopes a renewed emphasis on the little things will work.

Athlon Sports also has released its preview, by way of CNNSI.com:

If rookie Chris Stewart sticks as a third catcher, Guillen can use Hall and Pierzynski regularly to rest Thome or as pinch hitters.

While Athlon dropped the ball on that one, I'd accept their trivia bites on the right rail as a nice comeback.  I had no idea Mark Buehrle was the only Sox pitcher in franchise history to make 30 starts six years in a row.

Off the top of my head, I might've offered Billy Pierce, Ed Walsh or Ted Lyons.  Obviously, that wasn't the case:
  • Pierce: Five 30+ seasons before making 28 starts with 11 relief appearances in 1961.
  • Walsh:  Six 30+ seasons in seven years, with a 28-start year in the middle of it all.
  • Lyons:  Five 30+ seasons in six years, turned into "Sunday Starter" not long after.

Oddities and ends

Josh Paul lost his arbitration hearing against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.  The guy just can't catch a break.

********

The Seattle Post-Intelligencer ran an interesting full-blown feature on Jim Parque, who's trying to make a comeback.  The lede struck me as unintentionally funny:

Parque looks in at catcher Charles Johnson, shakes off a couple signs and then reaches back for a 93 mph fastball that freezes Olerud for strike three.

It should have been a magical moment for the 25-year-old pitcher, a rising star in the White Sox's rotation with a 13-6 record and good enough stuff to be the Game 1 starter in their division series with Seattle.

Instead ...

Of course the batter had to be Olerud.  Dark Helmet posted a .589 OBP against the White Sox in 39 October at-bats with the Blue Jays, Mariners and Red Sox.  Sox pitchers basically had to put their livelihoods on the line to get him out in the postseason, and Parque was the one to pay the price.

Bullish about the 'pen

It's been written in a few places that the collection of flamethrowers Kenny Williams has assembled should be well conditioned to survive in homer-happy U.S. Cellular Field.  My initial instinct countered that thought with, "Well, that's what was supposed to happen in 2006."

After all, each returning member of the 2005 bullpen had respectable home run rates.  Luis Vizcaino featured the worst of the bunch (a not-awful 1.03 HR/9 IP), and he wasn't back.  Damaso Marte probably would've been taken deep more often if he hit the strike zone, and Williams traded him to Pittsburgh. 

Meanwhile, Dustin Hermanson, Neal Cotts, Cliff Politte and Bobby Jenks were set to return, and Brandon McCarthy also managed to reduce the number of gopher balls in his second big-league stint.  Between them, they gave up only 20 homers in 267 innings.

In 2006, that workload was cut to 208 2/3 innings thanks to injuries to Politte and Hermanson ... and yet they managed to surrender more than twice the 2005 total (42).  Cotts was particularly awful, increasing his homers allowed total 13 times over. 

Adding to the oddity was that the pitcher pegged to be a home run waiting to happen kept the ball in the park.  Matt Thornton went from allowing 13 homers in 57 innings at spacious Safeco Field to allowing only five in 54 innings at the far cozier Cell.

This is why I'm never a big fan of spending a lot of money on the bullpen.  Outside of the top 10 percent of relievers, performances fluctuate too much to invest heavily in them.

I haven't been thrilled at the way Kenny Williams has gone about business this offseason, but I can't say anything bad about the bullpen he's assembled.  When you look at the home run rates, there are reasons to be excited.  Here were the HR/9 rates for the top five arms of the 2006 bullpen at the start of Spring Training last year, along with what they did in '06:

Name2006200520042003
Cotts2.000.151.790.15*
Hermanson2.700.631.031.15
Jenks0.650.690.47**0.21**
McCarthy1.661.75*0.87**0.62**
Politte2.700.941.052.01

(* Denotes partial season in minors.  ** Full season in minors)

With the exception of McCarthy, none of those track records are bad, and Black Mac had his reasons for optimism.  I'd consider anything under 1.00 desirable since it can take relievers a month to work off one bad outing when it comes to homers.

Nevertheless, the results were awful.  Politte and Hermanson had their reasons, of course, but Cotts' nosedive never was explained.  So it looks like Kenny's taken three extra steps to ensure success at home -- not only is he concentrating on lower homer rates, but he's also looked for younger (read: healthier) and stronger arms.  Here's what the Sox's top five arms have accomplished so far entering Spring Training:

Name2006200520042003
Aardsma1.530.47**0.41*0.59**
Jenks0.650.69
0.47**0.21**
MacDougal0.310.770.79*0.56
Masset0.29**1.09**0.62**0.51**
Thornton0.832.050.47*0.83**

Only three scary years stick out: Thornton's 2005, David Aardsma's 2006, and Nick Masset's 2005.  I think most Sox fans feel comfortable with Thornton, since Don Cooper announced he found a flaw in Thornton's delivery, and his control improved dramatically. 

As far as Aardsma, his rate looks less frightening when considering he gave up three homers in one disastrous outing against St. Louis August 18.  After it, he gave up only one homer in his last 24-1/3 innings, posting a 1.85 ERA during that stretch.

Nobody knows what will become of Masset, but supposedly he's become a whole different animal since the Rangers turned him into a full-time reliever.

Those are the caveats.  Now here's what's to like:
  • The average age is 27. 
  • Mike MacDougal is the only one who has hit arbitration.
  • Each of them throws 95 or harder.
And we're not even taking into account Andy Sisco, who despite his struggles in Kansas City last year has a career HR/9 rate of 0.94. 

There's little wonder why Ozzie's excited as he is for late-inning situations next season.  If these guys even meet 75 percent of their potential, I'll be thrilled right along with him.

And he was playing licks, too!

Sorry to bring up the Super Bowl again, but the controversy over Prince's halftime performance genuinely surprises me.

Not because some people have seen a phallus where others see a guitar, but because, if it was indeed intentional, then Prince blatantly ripped off Mel Brooks in "Robin Hood: Men in Tights."  That's where the outrage should lie.





A non-walking contradiction

While browsing Google News, this Juan Uribe package amused me immensely:



Juan's going to be late.  Juan's going to be on time

Uribe also said he might not play at all in 2007.  He reversed course shortly after. 

His defense expected him to be cleared any day now.  Two months later, Kenny Williams said Uribe was just about in the clear.

We do know, like that third headline states, that Uribe is going to court.  Everything else has been said, retracted or contradicted, yet somehow remains within the realm of possibility.

This being said, it makes me wonder why there hasn't been one big Juan Uribe takeout piece.  Chicago papers should actually have some newshole now that football season's over. 

At the very least, it'd be nice to have a story explaining the Dominican judicial system, and why a case that would've been thrown out five times over in the United States has managed to live for months after it became evident the plaintiff had nothing resembling evidence.

Sympathy for the devil

Q. You’re numb to the perception out there? In Boston, you’ve been literally demonized.

A. Being Catholic, who you are as a person, you don’t appreciate any association with Satan.

That's from a deep and detailed interview of Scott Boras by the Boston Herald's Michael Silverman, which I found by way of BTF.  It's a pretty interesting look at the White Sox front office's Public Enemy No. 1 (or No. 2 or 3, depending on where you slot a particular Sun-Times columnist and Frank Thomas).

It's hard to gauge how much one can trust what he says, but since we're used to seeing it from the White Sox's point of view, at the very least it provides some narrative dissonance for all you postmodernists out there.  It's a Red Sox-centric article, but a lot of what he says applies to all his clients, and thus applies to Joe Crede, John Danks, etc.

I'd recommend reading the whole thing, but here are a few of the more noteworthy excerpts:

Q.  Does the media represent you fairly?

A. [...]I work with a lot of GMs, a lot of owners, I tell them, ‘Anything about a player I’m involved with, you have a problem with, call me, we’ll address it, we’ll take care of it now, because we have staffing to do it, we have information to do it and we also have the relationship with players and we know that we want them to play well for you and fulfill their contracts.’ Never hear a complaint about that, they think that’s great, and I think everybody inside the game says we do a great job with that.

The negotiating part, they usually filter that off to some lawyer or somebody else in the process because they don’t really like me because we have a lot of information. We prepare all year long for these things. I understand that. My job is, I try to do it unemotionally, I try to do it in a professional way, use information. We get a lot of people from scouting departments or just writers, they think negotiation is about poker. People ask me if I play cards all the time. I go like, ‘