Sunday, December 03, 2006 - Posts

Better off dead

From the Daily Herald:

To add some more fire to the hot stove, let’s throw out a few names the White Sox might be discussing at the winter meetings.

The Sox are looking to upgrade in center field, and Ryan Sweeney just might get a chance to supplant Brian Anderson during spring training.

But if the White Sox are looking for a more established player, how about Darin Erstad, who was not offered arbitration by the Angels?

We've heard some sketchy suggestions about how the Sox can improve their center field situation (Gary Matthews Jr. and Juan Pierre), but this one takes the cake as the Worst Idea of the Offseason to date.  May I present to the court:

Exhibit A:

EXHIBIT A
EXHIBIT B
EXHIBIT C
2006 lineGames PlayedOPS vs. LHP
Darin Erstad:
.221/.279/.326
Brian Anderson:
.225/.290/.359
2003: 67 (played CF)
2004: 125
2005: 154
2006: 40 (played CF)
2003: .746
2004: .647
2005: .614
2006: .646


Wow.  To re-hash an old favorite, where would he play?  Put him in center, and he'll get hurt.  If by a miracle he stays healthy, he won't hit better than Anderson or Sweeney.  He also plays first, but so does Ross Gload, who's as able with the glove and a superior hitter.  He'll also cost more than all of the above. 

This whole diatribe isn't to single out a writer, but just an attempt to stamp out any kind of life this idea might have. 

Furthermore, I don't know why Kenny Williams would want any part of Erstad considering Erstad might've ruined his career had Williams not been saved by the Angels.  A year after Erstad's career season in which he made a run at George Sisler's single-season hit record before tailing off later in the year, Kenny tried to get him for Jon Garland and Chris Singleton.

That was Kenny's biggest problem in the earlygoing -- buying high, selling low.  Erstad's 2000 season was his only real above-average year; meanwhile, Garland was coming off a slightly underwhelming start to his career, even though he entered the big leagues at a very young age.

Williams did the same thing when he acquired Todd Ritchie and Billy Koch -- he paid dearly for career years while giving up on young talent.  But Erstad's contract (four years, $32 million) could've crippled the team, because his deal was far greater than either of the pitchers' (2/$10M, 1/$3.5M, respectively).  The Sox weren't exactly throwing around money before 2006, and a lot of money would've been tied up in an injury-prone singles hitter.

The deal was approved both by Williams and Angels GM Bill Stoneman, but then-Anaheim team president Tony Tavares axed the deal, thus saving Kenny from himself.  It's amazing how much he's grown as a general manager, and Tavares might've indirectly kept him around long enough to learn from his mistakes.

And away we go (updated)

Paul Konerko's 2007 preview is the first to be completed in the new Meet the Sox section.  Only 24 more to go.

Barring any other great ideas or suggestions (let me know if you have 'em), this will likely be the preview template for the hitters, at least.  We'll see what happens when I get to the pitchers, a group I'm reluctant to even address at this point since we don't know what the future holds.

At the end of each one, I'll have three sets of projections -- from ZiPS, The Bill James Handbook and my own noggin.  Please add in your own projections -- I'd like to get as many as possible so I can average them into one community projection.  Perhaps I'll come up with a prize for whoever has the most closest ones, like a free year of registration.

UPDATE:  I've also added an A.J. Pierzynski preview.